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North Macedonia vs Belgium - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

World Championship 2026 National Arena Toshe Proeski, Skopje
Our Tip

Match Events

15'
Atanasov J.
28' Event
De Cuyper M.
44'
Meunier T.

AI Match Summary

The World Championship 2026 game between North Macedonia and Belgium finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
North Macedonia
15%
Draws
85%
Belgium
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Belgium

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Belgium carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Belgium are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
North Macedonia Clean Sheet 10%
Belgium Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric North Macedonia Belgium
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 15
Draws 10 8
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 0.97 2.32
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2025 World Championship
Belgium vs North Macedonia
0:0
Jun 6, 2025 World Championship
North Macedonia vs Belgium
1:1
Mar 26, 2013 World Championship
Belgium vs North Macedonia
1:0
Mar 22, 2013 World Championship
North Macedonia vs Belgium
0:2
Jun 6, 1995 Euro
North Macedonia vs Belgium
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

North Macedonia Compare

Top Goalscorer Alioski E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Belgium Compare

Top Goalscorer De Cuyper M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

North Macedonia 10 / 100
Belgium 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
North Macedonia Belgium

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Belgium Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

North Macedonia scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Belgium's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Difficult form: Belgium registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

North Macedonia VS Belgium
0 Goals Scored 2.63
2 Goals Conceded 0.75
71% Over 1.5 88%
43% Over 2.5 50%
14% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

North Macedonia

(Home)
06 Oct
Switzerland
3 : 0
North Macedonia
03 Oct
North Macedonia
0 : 2
Scotland
29 Sept
Slovenia
2 : 0
North Macedonia
26 Sept
North Macedonia
0 : 3
Switzerland
01 Jun
Turkey
4 : 0
North Macedonia
Page 1 of 6

Belgium

(Away)
05 Oct
France
4 : 1
Belgium
02 Oct
Belgium
3 : 0
Turkey
28 Sept
Belgium
0 : 1
France
25 Sept
Italy
0 : 2
Belgium
10 Jul
Spain
2 : 1
Belgium
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany 6 5 0 1 16:3 15
2 Slovakia 6 4 0 2 6:8 12
3 Northern Ireland 6 3 0 3 7:6 9
4 Luxembourg 6 0 0 6 1:13 0
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League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Switzerland 6 4 2 0 14:2 14
2 Kosovo 6 3 2 1 6:5 11
3 Slovenia 6 0 4 2 3:8 4
4 Sweden 6 0 2 4 4:12 2
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League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Scotland 6 4 1 1 13:7 13
2 Denmark 6 3 2 1 16:7 11
3 Greece 6 2 1 3 10:12 7
4 Belarus 6 0 2 4 4:17 2
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League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France 6 5 1 0 16:4 16
2 Ukraine 6 3 1 2 10:11 10
3 Iceland 6 2 1 3 13:11 7
4 Azerbaijan 6 0 1 5 3:16 1
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League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain 6 5 1 0 21:2 16
2 Turkey 6 4 1 1 17:12 13
3 Georgia 6 1 0 5 7:15 3
4 Bulgaria 6 1 0 5 3:19 3
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League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal 6 4 1 1 20:7 13
2 Ireland 6 3 1 2 9:7 10
3 Hungary 6 2 2 2 11:10 8
4 Armenia 6 1 0 5 3:19 3
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League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Netherlands 8 6 2 0 27:4 20
2 Poland 8 5 2 1 14:7 17
3 Finland 8 3 1 4 8:14 10
4 Malta 8 1 2 5 4:19 5
5 Lithuania 8 0 3 5 6:15 3
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League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austria 8 6 1 1 22:4 19
2 Bosnia & Herzegovina 8 5 2 1 17:7 17
3 Romania 8 4 1 3 19:10 13
4 Cyprus 8 2 2 4 11:11 8
5 San Marino 8 0 0 8 2:39 0
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League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norway 8 8 0 0 37:5 24
2 Italy 8 6 0 2 21:12 18
3 Israel 8 4 0 4 19:20 12
4 Estonia 8 1 1 6 8:21 4
5 Moldova 8 0 1 7 5:32 1
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League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Belgium 8 5 3 0 29:7 18
2 Wales 8 5 1 2 21:11 16
3 North Macedonia 8 3 4 1 13:10 13
4 Kazakhstan 8 2 2 4 9:13 8
5 Liechtenstein 8 0 0 8 0:31 0
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League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 England 8 8 0 0 22:0 24
2 Albania 8 4 2 2 7:5 14
3 Serbia 8 4 1 3 9:10 13
4 Latvia 8 1 2 5 5:15 5
5 Andorra 8 0 1 7 3:16 1
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League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Croatia 8 7 1 0 26:4 22
2 Czech Republic 8 5 1 2 18:8 16
3 Faroe Islands 8 4 0 4 11:9 12
4 Montenegro 8 3 0 5 8:17 9
5 Gibraltar 8 0 0 8 3:28 0
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