Sport Picks

World

World Championship 2026 National Arena Toshe Proeski, Skopje

North Macedonia

1 - 1

Kazakhstan

Our Tip

Match Events

45'

Alimi I.

46'

Sub

Velkovski D. In: Kostadinov T.

Out: Velkovski D.

46'

Sub

Miovski B. In: Churlinov D.

Out: Miovski B.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this World Championship 2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%

North Macedonia

35%

Draws

52%

Kazakhstan

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Kazakhstan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence

Kazakhstan haven't matched North Macedonia's recent run of results.
Kazakhstan are the model's pick here, at 50%.
Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
These two have met 3 times recently and North Macedonia have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 63%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%

North Macedonia Clean Sheet 14%

Kazakhstan Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	North Macedonia	Kazakhstan
Matches Played	28	27
Wins	9	5
Draws	10	5
Losses	9	17
Goals Scored	1.14	0.81
Goals Conceded	1.36	1.93
Expected Goals (xG)	0.56	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 13, 2025 World Championship

North Macedonia vs Kazakhstan

1:1

Jun 9, 2025 World Championship

Kazakhstan vs North Macedonia

0:1

Jun 4, 2021 Friendly International

North Macedonia vs Kazakhstan

4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

North Macedonia Compare

Top Goalscorer Bardhi E.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.43

Avg xA / game 0.28

Kazakhstan Compare

Top Goalscorer Karaman D.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.48

Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

North Macedonia 23 / 100

Kazakhstan 59 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

North Macedonia Kazakhstan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kazakhstan Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

North Macedonia found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).

Kazakhstan's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 27 matches.

H2H data points to 2.33 goals as a typical output.

North Macedonia has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

North Macedonia VS Kazakhstan

0.25 Goals Scored 0.88

2.38 Goals Conceded 0.88

63% Over 1.5 63%

50% Over 2.5 13%

38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

North Macedonia

(Home)

26 Sept

North Macedonia

0 : 3

Switzerland

01 Jun

Turkey

4 : 0

North Macedonia

29 May

Bosnia & Herzegovina

0 : 0

North Macedonia

31 Mar

Ireland

0 : 0

North Macedonia

26 Mar

Denmark

4 : 0

North Macedonia

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Kazakhstan

(Away)

26 Sept

Faroe Islands

1 : 1

Kazakhstan

09 Jun

Hungary

3 : 1

Kazakhstan

06 Jun

Armenia

1 : 1

Kazakhstan

31 Mar

Kazakhstan

1 : 0

Comoros

25 Mar

Kazakhstan

2 : 0

Namibia

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