Sport Picks
North Macedonia vs Scotland - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Europe
UEFA Nations League National Arena Toshe Proeski, Skopje 
Match Events
6'
6'
McBurnie O.
7'
7'
Bowie K.
Assist: Gilmour B.
31'
31'
Sub
Stankovski L. In: Atanasov J.
Out: Stankovski L.
AI Match Summary
Scotland in this UEFA Nations League matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Scotland.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Scotland
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Scotland lately — more wins on the board than North Macedonia.
- 85% — that's where the model lands on Scotland taking it.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
North Macedonia Clean Sheet 10%
Scotland Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | North Macedonia | Scotland |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 8 | 12 |
| Draws | 10 | 5 |
| Losses | 12 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 0.97 | 1.31 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.47 | 1.34 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.63 | 2.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 3, 2026 UEFA Nations League
North Macedonia vs Scotland
0:2
Sep 10, 2013 World Championship
North Macedonia vs Scotland
1:2
Sep 11, 2012 World Championship
Scotland vs North Macedonia
1:1
Sep 5, 2009 World Championship
Scotland vs North Macedonia
2:0
Sep 6, 2008 World Championship
North Macedonia vs Scotland
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
North Macedonia Compare
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32
Scotland Compare
Top Goalscorer Bowie K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
North Macedonia 14 / 100
Scotland 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
North Macedonia Scotland
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Scotland Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
North Macedonia's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Defensive concern: Scotland conceded in 69% of 32 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Scotland's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
North Macedonia VS Scotland
0.13 Goals Scored 1.63
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
North Macedonia
(Home) 06 Oct
Switzerland
3 : 0 North Macedonia
03 Oct
North Macedonia
0 : 2 Scotland
29 Sept
Slovenia
2 : 0 North Macedonia
26 Sept
North Macedonia
0 : 3 Switzerland
01 Jun
Turkey
4 : 0 North Macedonia
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
North Macedonia
0 : 2 Scotland
26 Sept
North Macedonia
0 : 3 Switzerland
13 Nov
North Macedonia
0 : 0 Latvia
13 Oct
North Macedonia
1 : 1 Kazakhstan
07 Sept
North Macedonia
5 : 0 Liechtenstein
Page 1 of 3
Scotland
(Away) 06 Oct
Scotland
1 : 2 Slovenia
03 Oct
North Macedonia
0 : 2 Scotland
29 Sept
Scotland
0 : 3 Switzerland
26 Sept
Slovenia
0 : 0 Scotland
24 Jun
Scotland
0 : 3 Brazil
Page 1 of 7
03 Oct
North Macedonia
0 : 2 Scotland
26 Sept
Slovenia
0 : 0 Scotland
14 Jun
Haiti
0 : 1 Scotland
06 Jun
Bolivia
0 : 4 Scotland
15 Nov
Greece
3 : 2 Scotland
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Switzerland | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11:1 | 12 |
| 2 | Slovenia | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 7 |
| 3 | Scotland | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | 4 |
| 4 | North Macedonia | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0:10 | 0 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Northern Ireland | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4:0 | 8 |
| 2 | Hungary | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 7 |
| 3 | Ukraine | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | 4 |
| 4 | Georgia | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0:2 | 2 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austria | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9:5 | 8 |
| 2 | Kosovo | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | 5 |
| 3 | Ireland | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:4 | 5 |
| 4 | Israel | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:7 | 2 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sweden | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | 10 |
| 2 | Bosnia & Herzegovina | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:3 | 8 |
| 3 | Poland | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:4 | 4 |
| 4 | Romania | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:13 | 0 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)
