Sport Picks

Stadium Background

North Macedonia vs Wales

World World

World Championship 2026 National Arena Toshe Proeski
Our Tip

Match Events

45'
Serafimov N.
45'
Milevski B.
61'
Sub
Alimi I. In: Churlinov D.
Out: Alimi I.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this World Championship 2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
North Macedonia
6%
Draws
90%
Wales
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Wales

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Wales have won more games recently than North Macedonia.
  • Wales are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
North Macedonia Clean Sheet 11%
Wales Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric North Macedonia Wales
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 12
Draws 11 10
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 18, 2025 World Championship
Wales vs North Macedonia
7:1
Mar 25, 2025 World Championship
North Macedonia vs Wales
1:1
Oct 11, 2013 World Championship
Wales vs North Macedonia
1:0
Sep 6, 2013 World Championship
North Macedonia vs Wales
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

North Macedonia Compare

Top Goalscorer Miovski B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Wales Compare

Top Goalscorer Brooks D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

North Macedonia 10 / 100
Wales 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
North Macedonia Wales

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WAL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

North Macedonia's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Wales conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

North Macedonia went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

North Macedonia VS Wales
1 Goals Scored 1.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Germany650116:315
2Slovakia64026:812
3Northern Ireland63037:69
4Luxembourg60061:130
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Switzerland642014:214
2Kosovo63216:511
3Slovenia60423:84
4Sweden60244:122
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Scotland641113:713
2Denmark632116:711
3Greece621310:127
4Belarus60244:172
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1France651016:416
2Ukraine631210:1110
3Iceland621313:117
4Azerbaijan60153:161
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Spain651021:216
2Turkey641117:1213
3Georgia61057:153
4Bulgaria61053:193
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Portugal641120:713
2Ireland63129:710
3Hungary622211:108
4Armenia61053:193
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Netherlands862027:420
2Poland852114:717
3Finland83148:1410
4Malta81254:195
5Lithuania80356:153
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Austria861122:419
2Bosnia & Herzegovina852117:717
3Romania841319:1013
4Cyprus822411:118
5San Marino80082:390
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Norway880037:524
2Italy860221:1218
3Israel840419:2012
4Estonia81168:214
5Moldova80175:321
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Belgium853029:718
2Wales851221:1116
3North Macedonia834113:1013
4Kazakhstan82249:138
5Liechtenstein80080:310
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1England880022:024
2Albania84227:514
3Serbia84139:1013
4Latvia81255:155
5Andorra80173:161
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Croatia871026:422
2Czech Republic851218:816
3Faroe Islands840411:912
4Montenegro83058:179
5Gibraltar80083:280