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North Macedonia W vs Montenegro W

World World

Friendly International Women 2024 Trening Centar Petar Miloševski
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Kuc A.
41' Event
Durdevac N.
46'
Sub
Petrovic J. In: Stanovic N.
Out: Petrovic J.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International Women 2024 game between North Macedonia W and Montenegro W finished 1-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Montenegro W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
North Macedonia W
17%
Draws
13%
Montenegro W
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: North Macedonia W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Montenegro W come out ahead of North Macedonia W on wins alone.
  • Model gives North Macedonia W a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Friendly International Women 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Montenegro W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
North Macedonia W Clean Sheet 10%
Montenegro W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric North Macedonia W Montenegro W
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 6 12
Draws 3 5
Losses 21 14
Goals Scored 0.63 1.13
Goals Conceded 2.75 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.75 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 3, 2024 Friendly International Women
North Macedonia W vs Montenegro W
1:5
Nov 30, 2024 Friendly International Women
North Macedonia W vs Montenegro W
3:2
Apr 10, 2023 Friendly International Women
Montenegro W vs North Macedonia W
3:1
Feb 21, 2021 Friendly International Women
Montenegro W vs North Macedonia W
5:0
Apr 29, 2015 Friendly International Women
North Macedonia W vs Montenegro W
1:7

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

North Macedonia W Compare

Top Goalscorer Maksuti U.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Montenegro W Compare

Top Goalscorer Djokovic J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Durdevac N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

North Macedonia W 65 / 100
Montenegro W 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
North Macedonia W Montenegro W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MKD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Montenegro W conceded in 81% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 5.60 goals as a typical output.

Montenegro W lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: North Macedonia W scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

North Macedonia W VS Montenegro W
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
2.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%