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North Star vs Logan Lightning

Australia Australia

Queensland Premier League O'Callaghan Park, Zillmere
North Star Logo

North Star

1 - 3
FT
Logan Lightning Logo

Logan Lightning

Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Bekavac J.
55' Event
Bekavac J.
85' Event
Oberli B.
(Penalty)
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Queensland Premier League game between North Star and Logan Lightning finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Logan Lightning.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
North Star
20%
Draws
33%
Logan Lightning
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: North Star

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Logan Lightning carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Queensland Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Logan Lightning have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
North Star Clean Sheet 13%
Logan Lightning Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric North Star Logan Lightning
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 11
Draws 4 5
Losses 17 14
Goals Scored 1.33 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Queensland Premier League
North Star vs Logan Lightning
1:3
Feb 28, 2026 Queensland Premier League
Logan Lightning vs North Star
4:0
Jun 28, 2014 Brisbane Premier League
Logan Lightning vs North Star
5:1
Mar 23, 2014 Brisbane Premier League
North Star vs Logan Lightning
0:1
Aug 24, 2013 Brisbane Premier League
Logan Lightning vs North Star
6:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

North Star Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Logan Lightning Compare

Top Goalscorer Bekavac J.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

North Star 30 / 100
Logan Lightning 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
North Star Logan Lightning

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick North Star Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Logan Lightning let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

North Star scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Solid form: North Star remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

North Star VS Logan Lightning
0.75 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

North Star

(Home)
15 Aug
North Star
2 : 1
Caboolture
09 Aug
North Star
1 : 0
Robina City
31 Jul
North Star
1 : 0
Capalaba FC
18 Jul
Ipswich
3 : 2
North Star
10 Jul
Holland Park Hawks
0 : 0
North Star
Page 1 of 6

Logan Lightning

(Away)
15 Aug
Redlands
2 : 0
Logan Lightning
09 Aug
Logan Lightning
4 : 1
St. George Willawong
31 Jul
Broadbeach Utd.
1 : 0
Logan Lightning
18 Jul
Logan Lightning
2 : 2
Sunshine Coast Wanderers
11 Jul
Logan Lightning
3 : 2
Ipswich
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brisbane Strikers 22 17 3 2 52:18 54
2 Broadbeach Utd. 22 16 4 2 51:20 52
3 Sunshine Coast Wanderers 22 10 7 5 46:28 37
4 Ipswich 22 10 5 7 35:30 35
5 Robina City 22 9 5 8 36:29 32
6 Caboolture 22 9 4 9 45:38 31
7 Redlands 22 8 6 8 40:38 30
8 Holland Park Hawks 22 9 3 10 40:48 30
9 Logan Lightning 22 8 3 11 39:41 27
10 North Star 22 6 3 13 22:41 21
11 St. George Willawong 22 4 1 17 13:52 13
12 Capalaba FC 22 3 2 17 21:57 11
Promotion - Queensland Premier League (Play Offs)