Sport Picks

Stadium Background

North Star vs St. George Willawong

Australia Australia

Queensland Premier League O'Callaghan Park
Our Tip

Match Events

79'
Gbayor A.
85' Event
Harvey N.

AI Match Summary

North Star in this Queensland Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored North Star.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
North Star
39%
Draws
30%
St. George Willawong
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • North Star have won more games recently than St. George Willawong.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
North Star Clean Sheet 16%
St. George Willawong Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric North Star St. George Willawong
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 5
Draws 4 5
Losses 18 19
Goals Scored 1 0.5
Goals Conceded 2.38 3.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 3.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Queensland Premier League
St. George Willawong vs North Star
2:0
Mar 20, 2026 Queensland Premier League
North Star vs St. George Willawong
1:0
Aug 16, 2020 Brisbane Premier League
St. George Willawong vs North Star
5:1
May 24, 2020 Brisbane Premier League
North Star vs St. George Willawong
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

North Star Compare

Top Goalscorer Harvey N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

St. George Willawong Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

North Star 31 / 100
St. George Willawong 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
North Star St. George Willawong

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick STW Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St. George Willawong's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

North Star's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.25 goals when they meet.

St. George Willawong lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

North Star VS St. George Willawong
1 Goals Scored 0.5
2.38 Goals Conceded 3.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Broadbeach Utd.18144047:1646
2Brisbane Strikers18143144:1445
3Sunshine Coast Wanderers1885536:2429
4Robina City1884630:2028
5Ipswich1884629:2728
6Caboolture1883735:3127
7Redlands1874735:3225
8Holland Park Hawks1873829:3324
9Logan Lightning1872933:3523
10North Star18331216:3712
11St. George Willawong18311410:4110
12Capalaba FC18221417:518