Sport Picks

Stadium Background

North Star vs St. George Willawong - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Australia Australia

Queensland Premier League O'Callaghan Park, Zillmere
Our Tip

Match Events

79'
Gbayor A.
85' Event
Harvey N.

AI Match Summary

North Star in this Queensland Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored North Star.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
North Star
15%
Draws
20%
St. George Willawong
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: North Star

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • North Star have won more games recently than St. George Willawong.
  • Win probability leans North Star's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
North Star Clean Sheet 18%
St. George Willawong Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric North Star St. George Willawong
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 6
Draws 4 4
Losses 17 20
Goals Scored 1.33 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.9 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Queensland Premier League
St. George Willawong vs North Star
2:0
Mar 20, 2026 Queensland Premier League
North Star vs St. George Willawong
1:0
Aug 16, 2020 Brisbane Premier League
St. George Willawong vs North Star
5:1
May 24, 2020 Brisbane Premier League
North Star vs St. George Willawong
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

North Star Compare

Top Goalscorer Harvey N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

St. George Willawong Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

North Star 85 / 100
St. George Willawong 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
North Star St. George Willawong

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick North Star Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St. George Willawong's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

North Star's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.25 goals when they meet.

North Star went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

North Star VS St. George Willawong
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

North Star

(Home)
15 Aug
North Star
2 : 1
Caboolture
09 Aug
North Star
1 : 0
Robina City
31 Jul
North Star
1 : 0
Capalaba FC
18 Jul
Ipswich
3 : 2
North Star
10 Jul
Holland Park Hawks
0 : 0
North Star
Page 1 of 6

St. George Willawong

(Away)
15 Aug
St. George Willawong
1 : 6
Sunshine Coast Wanderers
09 Aug
Logan Lightning
4 : 1
St. George Willawong
02 Aug
St. George Willawong
0 : 1
Brisbane Strikers
18 Jul
St. George Willawong
1 : 0
Caboolture
11 Jul
St. George Willawong
0 : 2
Robina City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brisbane Strikers 22 17 3 2 52:18 54
2 Broadbeach Utd. 22 16 4 2 51:20 52
3 Sunshine Coast Wanderers 22 10 7 5 46:28 37
4 Ipswich 22 10 5 7 35:30 35
5 Robina City 22 9 5 8 36:29 32
6 Caboolture 22 9 4 9 45:38 31
7 Redlands 22 8 6 8 40:38 30
8 Holland Park Hawks 22 9 3 10 40:48 30
9 Logan Lightning 22 8 3 11 39:41 27
10 North Star 22 6 3 13 22:41 21
11 St. George Willawong 22 4 1 17 13:52 13
12 Capalaba FC 22 3 2 17 21:57 11
Promotion - Queensland Premier League (Play Offs)