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North Sunshine Eagles vs Eltham Redbacks

Australia Australia

Victoria Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Dos Santos R.
90' Event
Millar J.

AI Match Summary

The Victoria Premier League game between North Sunshine Eagles and Eltham Redbacks finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
North Sunshine Eagles
15%
Draws
37%
Eltham Redbacks
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: North Sunshine Eagles

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Eltham Redbacks carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives North Sunshine Eagles a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
North Sunshine Eagles Clean Sheet 13%
Eltham Redbacks Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric North Sunshine Eagles Eltham Redbacks
Matches Played 31 27
Wins 10 11
Draws 5 6
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 1.42 2.15
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Victoria Premier League
North Sunshine Eagles vs Eltham Redbacks
1:1
Apr 11, 2026 Victoria Premier League
Eltham Redbacks vs North Sunshine Eagles
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

North Sunshine Eagles Compare

Top Goalscorer Dos Santos R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Eltham Redbacks Compare

Top Goalscorer Millar J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

North Sunshine Eagles 35 / 100
Eltham Redbacks 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
North Sunshine Eagles Eltham Redbacks

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Eltham Redbacks's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 27 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

North Sunshine Eagles's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

North Sunshine Eagles has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

North Sunshine Eagles VS Eltham Redbacks
1.5 Goals Scored 2.38
1 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

North Sunshine Eagles

(Home)
30 Aug
Western United U21
0 : 3
North Sunshine Eagles
25 Aug
Queensland Lions
4 : 0
North Sunshine Eagles
22 Aug
North Sunshine Eagles
2 : 0
Brunswick City
17 Aug
Bulleen
2 : 1
North Sunshine Eagles
12 Aug
North Sunshine Eagles
1 : 0
Heidelberg Utd
Page 1 of 7

Eltham Redbacks

(Away)
11 Sept
Melbourne Victory U21
2 : 0
Eltham Redbacks
30 Aug
Eltham Redbacks
2 : 2
Melbourne Knights
22 Aug
Port Melbourne Sharks
0 : 2
Eltham Redbacks
14 Aug
Eltham Redbacks
5 : 0
Manningham United Blues
31 Jul
Northcote City
1 : 0
Eltham Redbacks
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Melbourne Knights 24 15 4 5 43:19 49
2 Brunswick Juventus 24 15 2 7 42:26 47
3 Melbourne Victory U21 24 13 4 7 55:32 43
4 Northcote City 24 13 4 7 38:27 43
5 Bulleen 24 12 6 6 44:30 42
6 Eltham Redbacks 24 10 6 8 53:37 36
7 Melbourne Srbija 24 11 3 10 27:25 36
8 Manningham United Blues 24 9 3 12 32:48 30
9 North Geelong Warriors 24 9 2 13 32:49 29
10 Brunswick City 24 8 3 13 40:49 27
11 Langwarrin 24 6 6 12 40:52 24
12 North Sunshine Eagles 24 5 5 14 29:38 20
13 Port Melbourne Sharks 24 4 4 16 12:55 16
14 Western United U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - NPL Victoria (Main)
Promotion - Victoria Premier League (Promotion - Play Offs)