Sport Picks

USA

MLS Next Pro Choctaw Stadium, Arlington, TX

North Texas

2 - 3

Houston Dynamo 2

Our Tip

Match Events

14'

Simmonds N.

(Penalty)

30'

Arthur Sousa

Assist: Dimareli M.

31'

Arthur Sousa

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The MLS Next Pro game between North Texas and Houston Dynamo 2 finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Houston Dynamo 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%

North Texas

15%

Draws

21%

Houston Dynamo 2

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: North Texas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Houston Dynamo 2 come out ahead of North Texas on wins alone.
North Texas are the model's pick here, at 80%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%

North Texas Clean Sheet 13%

Houston Dynamo 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	North Texas	Houston Dynamo 2
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	14	18
Draws	0	0
Losses	16	12
Goals Scored	1.6	2
Goals Conceded	1.7	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	1.81	1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2026 MLS Next Pro

North Texas vs Houston Dynamo 2

1:0

Sep 10, 2026 MLS Next Pro

North Texas vs Houston Dynamo 2

2:3

Mar 21, 2026 MLS Next Pro

Houston Dynamo 2 vs North Texas

2:0

Jul 14, 2025 MLS Next Pro

Houston Dynamo 2 vs North Texas

3:0

May 19, 2025 MLS Next Pro

North Texas vs Houston Dynamo 2

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

North Texas Compare

Top Goalscorer Nys E.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.39

Avg xA / game 0.91

Houston Dynamo 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Arthur Sousa

1 Goals

Assists Leader Mohammad S.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.54

Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

North Texas 75 / 100

Houston Dynamo 2 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

North Texas Houston Dynamo 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick North Texas Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

North Texas scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Houston Dynamo 2 let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: North Texas stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

North Texas VS Houston Dynamo 2

1.88 Goals Scored 1.38

2 Goals Conceded 1.75

88% Over 1.5 100%

88% Over 2.5 63%

50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

North Texas

(Home)

20 Sept

Colorado Rapids 2

2 : 1

North Texas

14 Sept

North Texas

1 : 0

Houston Dynamo 2

10 Sept

North Texas

2 : 3

Houston Dynamo 2

05 Sept

North Texas

4 : 1

Real Monarchs

29 Aug

St. Louis City 2

1 : 2

North Texas

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Houston Dynamo 2

(Away)

20 Sept

Houston Dynamo 2

2 : 3

Sporting Kansas City II

14 Sept

North Texas

1 : 0

Houston Dynamo 2

10 Sept

North Texas

2 : 3

Houston Dynamo 2

04 Sept

Houston Dynamo 2

0 : 2

Austin FC II

30 Aug

Houston Dynamo 2

0 : 2

Minnesota United 2

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