Sport Picks
North Texas vs San Jose Earthquakes II
USA
MLS Next Pro Choctaw Stadium, Arlington, TX 
Match Events
18'
18'
Spivey K.
46'
46'
Sub
Sedeh S. In: Contreras J.
Out: Sedeh S.
46'
46'
Sub
Luccin M. In: Baran D.
Out: Luccin M.
AI Match Summary
The MLS Next Pro game between North Texas and San Jose Earthquakes II finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward San Jose Earthquakes II.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
42%
20%
38%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: North Texas
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
67%
/ Medium Confidence
- North Texas haven't matched San Jose Earthquakes II's recent run of results.
- Model gives North Texas a 42% chance of winning this.
- Regular MLS Next Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
North Texas Clean Sheet 10%
San Jose Earthquakes II Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | North Texas | San Jose Earthquakes II |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 15 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 16 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.75 | 3 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 3.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.13 | 1.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 19, 2026 MLS Next Pro
San Jose Earthquakes II vs North Texas
0:1
May 24, 2026 MLS Next Pro
North Texas vs San Jose Earthquakes II
2:3
Oct 20, 2025 MLS Next Pro
San Jose Earthquakes II vs North Texas
3:0
Apr 24, 2025 MLS Next Pro
North Texas vs San Jose Earthquakes II
2:0
May 13, 2024 MLS Next Pro
San Jose Earthquakes II vs North Texas
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
North Texas Compare
Top Goalscorer James N.
1 Goals Assists Leader Nys E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
San Jose Earthquakes II Compare
Top Goalscorer Spivey K.
1 Goals Assists Leader Allen T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.73
Avg xA / game 1.67
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
North Texas 40 / 100
San Jose Earthquakes II 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
North Texas San Jose Earthquakes II
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
North Texas found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).
Defensive concern: San Jose Earthquakes II conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Difficult form: San Jose Earthquakes II registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
North Texas VS San Jose Earthquakes II
1.75 Goals Scored 3
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
North Texas
(Home) 26 Jul
North Texas
2 : 3 Los Angeles FC 2
19 Jul
San Jose Earthquakes II
0 : 1 North Texas
12 Jul
Colorado Rapids 2
1 : 0 North Texas
05 Jul
North Texas
3 : 0 St. Louis City 2
11 Jun
Vancouver Whitecaps 2
2 : 1 North Texas
Page 1 of 6
26 Jul
North Texas
2 : 3 Los Angeles FC 2
05 Jul
North Texas
3 : 0 St. Louis City 2
24 May
North Texas
2 : 3 San Jose Earthquakes II
17 May
North Texas
5 : 1 Sporting Kansas City II
03 May
North Texas
0 : 2 Austin FC II
Page 1 of 3
San Jose Earthquakes II
(Away) 26 Jul
Ventura County
3 : 0 San Jose Earthquakes II
19 Jul
San Jose Earthquakes II
0 : 1 North Texas
13 Jul
San Jose Earthquakes II
0 : 1 Tacoma Defiance
08 Jul
San Jose Earthquakes II
6 : 1 Sporting Kansas City II
27 Jun
Portland Timbers 2
2 : 3 San Jose Earthquakes II
Page 1 of 6
26 Jul
Ventura County
3 : 0 San Jose Earthquakes II
27 Jun
Portland Timbers 2
2 : 3 San Jose Earthquakes II
18 Jun
Vancouver Whitecaps 2
3 : 2 San Jose Earthquakes II
24 May
North Texas
2 : 3 San Jose Earthquakes II
13 May
Real Monarchs
2 : 1 San Jose Earthquakes II
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Columbus Crew 2 | 20 | 14 | 0 | 6 | 36:31 | 39 |
| 2 | New England Revolution II | 19 | 12 | 0 | 7 | 28:22 | 36 |
| 3 | New York Red Bulls II | 20 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 40:32 | 32 |
| 4 | CT United FC | 19 | 11 | 0 | 8 | 35:33 | 31 |
| 5 | New York City II | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 29:29 | 28 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union II | 20 | 9 | 0 | 11 | 21:27 | 26 |
| 7 | Toronto FC II | 20 | 8 | 0 | 12 | 31:38 | 25 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati 2 | 19 | 6 | 0 | 13 | 19:36 | 16 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Crown Legacy | 19 | 14 | 0 | 5 | 47:27 | 40 |
| 2 | Chattanooga | 20 | 13 | 0 | 7 | 39:30 | 37 |
| 3 | Orlando City B | 20 | 12 | 0 | 8 | 40:34 | 35 |
| 4 | Atlanta United 2 | 19 | 10 | 0 | 9 | 41:30 | 33 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire II | 19 | 10 | 0 | 9 | 34:28 | 30 |
| 6 | Huntsville City | 19 | 9 | 0 | 10 | 32:35 | 28 |
| 7 | Carolina Core | 21 | 6 | 0 | 15 | 27:37 | 21 |
| 8 | Inter Miami II | 18 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 16:46 | 8 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portland Timbers 2 | 20 | 13 | 0 | 7 | 26:23 | 40 |
| 2 | Ventura County | 20 | 12 | 0 | 8 | 37:27 | 35 |
| 3 | Los Angeles FC 2 | 19 | 10 | 0 | 9 | 30:32 | 31 |
| 4 | Tacoma Defiance | 20 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 25:27 | 30 |
| 5 | San Jose Earthquakes II | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 37:23 | 28 |
| 6 | Real Monarchs | 20 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 31:36 | 26 |
| 7 | Vancouver Whitecaps 2 | 21 | 7 | 0 | 14 | 26:45 | 19 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austin FC II | 19 | 14 | 0 | 5 | 41:17 | 44 |
| 2 | Houston Dynamo 2 | 18 | 15 | 0 | 3 | 40:16 | 42 |
| 3 | St. Louis City 2 | 20 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 31:33 | 30 |
| 4 | Minnesota United 2 | 20 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 28:32 | 29 |
| 5 | North Texas | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 29:23 | 26 |
| 6 | Sporting Kansas City II | 19 | 5 | 0 | 14 | 24:50 | 16 |
| 7 | Colorado Rapids 2 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 18:39 | 12 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 5)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Crown Legacy | 19 | 14 | 0 | 5 | 47:27 | 40 |
| 2 | Columbus Crew 2 | 20 | 14 | 0 | 6 | 36:31 | 39 |
| 3 | Chattanooga | 20 | 13 | 0 | 7 | 39:30 | 37 |
| 4 | New England Revolution II | 19 | 12 | 0 | 7 | 28:22 | 36 |
| 5 | Orlando City B | 20 | 12 | 0 | 8 | 40:34 | 35 |
| 6 | Atlanta United 2 | 19 | 10 | 0 | 9 | 41:30 | 33 |
| 7 | New York Red Bulls II | 20 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 40:32 | 32 |
| 8 | CT United FC | 19 | 11 | 0 | 8 | 35:33 | 31 |
| 9 | Chicago Fire II | 19 | 10 | 0 | 9 | 34:28 | 30 |
| 10 | New York City II | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 29:29 | 28 |
| 11 | Huntsville City | 19 | 9 | 0 | 10 | 32:35 | 28 |
| 12 | Philadelphia Union II | 20 | 9 | 0 | 11 | 21:27 | 26 |
| 13 | Toronto FC II | 20 | 8 | 0 | 12 | 31:38 | 25 |
| 14 | Carolina Core | 21 | 6 | 0 | 15 | 27:37 | 21 |
| 15 | FC Cincinnati 2 | 19 | 6 | 0 | 13 | 19:36 | 16 |
| 16 | Inter Miami II | 18 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 16:46 | 8 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 6)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austin FC II | 19 | 14 | 0 | 5 | 41:17 | 44 |
| 2 | Houston Dynamo 2 | 18 | 15 | 0 | 3 | 40:16 | 42 |
| 3 | Portland Timbers 2 | 20 | 13 | 0 | 7 | 26:23 | 40 |
| 4 | Ventura County | 20 | 12 | 0 | 8 | 37:27 | 35 |
| 5 | Los Angeles FC 2 | 19 | 10 | 0 | 9 | 30:32 | 31 |
| 6 | Tacoma Defiance | 20 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 25:27 | 30 |
| 7 | St. Louis City 2 | 20 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 31:33 | 30 |
| 8 | Minnesota United 2 | 20 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 28:32 | 29 |
| 9 | San Jose Earthquakes II | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 37:23 | 28 |
| 10 | North Texas | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 29:23 | 26 |
| 11 | Real Monarchs | 20 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 31:36 | 26 |
| 12 | Vancouver Whitecaps 2 | 21 | 7 | 0 | 14 | 26:45 | 19 |
| 13 | Sporting Kansas City II | 19 | 5 | 0 | 14 | 24:50 | 16 |
| 14 | Colorado Rapids 2 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 18:39 | 12 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
