Sport Picks

Stadium Background

North Texas vs San Jose Earthquakes II

USA USA

MLS Next Pro Choctaw Stadium, Arlington, TX
North Texas Logo

North Texas

Sun, May 24, 2026
2 - 3
12:30 AM
San Jose Earthquakes II Logo

San Jose Earthquakes II

Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Spivey K.
46'
Sub
Sedeh S. In: Contreras J.
Out: Sedeh S.
46'
Sub
Luccin M. In: Baran D.
Out: Luccin M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The MLS Next Pro game between North Texas and San Jose Earthquakes II finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward San Jose Earthquakes II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
North Texas
15%
Draws
42%
San Jose Earthquakes II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: North Texas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • North Texas haven't matched San Jose Earthquakes II's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular MLS Next Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
North Texas Clean Sheet 14%
San Jose Earthquakes II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric North Texas San Jose Earthquakes II
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 15
Draws 0 0
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 1.6 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2026 MLS Next Pro
San Jose Earthquakes II vs North Texas
0:1
May 24, 2026 MLS Next Pro
North Texas vs San Jose Earthquakes II
2:3
Oct 20, 2025 MLS Next Pro
San Jose Earthquakes II vs North Texas
3:0
Apr 24, 2025 MLS Next Pro
North Texas vs San Jose Earthquakes II
2:0
May 13, 2024 MLS Next Pro
San Jose Earthquakes II vs North Texas
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

North Texas Compare

Top Goalscorer James N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nys E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

San Jose Earthquakes II Compare

Top Goalscorer Spivey K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Allen T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

North Texas 30 / 100
San Jose Earthquakes II 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
North Texas San Jose Earthquakes II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick North Texas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: San Jose Earthquakes II conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

North Texas found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

North Texas has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

North Texas VS San Jose Earthquakes II
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

North Texas

(Home)
20 Sept
Colorado Rapids 2
2 : 1
North Texas
14 Sept
North Texas
1 : 0
Houston Dynamo 2
10 Sept
North Texas
2 : 3
Houston Dynamo 2
05 Sept
North Texas
4 : 1
Real Monarchs
29 Aug
St. Louis City 2
1 : 2
North Texas
Page 1 of 6

San Jose Earthquakes II

(Away)
20 Sept
Vancouver Whitecaps 2
0 : 2
San Jose Earthquakes II
14 Sept
San Jose Earthquakes II
4 : 0
Real Monarchs
10 Sept
San Jose Earthquakes II
1 : 3
Ventura County
06 Sept
San Jose Earthquakes II
1 : 2
Tacoma Defiance
31 Aug
San Jose Earthquakes II
3 : 2
Los Angeles FC 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Columbus Crew 2 28 17 0 11 49:43 48
2 New England Revolution II 28 16 0 12 47:42 48
3 New York City II 28 16 0 12 50:44 47
4 CT United FC 28 16 0 12 59:52 46
5 New York Red Bulls II 28 15 0 13 58:48 46
6 Philadelphia Union II 28 14 0 14 37:40 43
7 Toronto FC II 28 13 0 15 48:56 39
8 FC Cincinnati 2 28 7 0 21 32:62 20
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crown Legacy 28 20 0 8 67:39 58
2 Chattanooga 28 19 0 9 56:39 56
3 Atlanta United 2 28 15 0 13 62:46 48
4 Huntsville City 28 14 0 14 49:47 44
5 Orlando City B 28 15 0 13 55:56 44
6 Chicago Fire II 28 13 0 15 50:48 39
7 Carolina Core 28 10 0 18 40:53 31
8 Inter Miami II 28 4 0 24 30:74 15
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portland Timbers 2 28 19 0 9 37:29 57
2 Ventura County 28 18 0 10 58:36 53
3 Los Angeles FC 2 28 14 0 14 50:48 45
4 San Jose Earthquakes II 28 14 0 14 51:36 42
5 Tacoma Defiance 28 14 0 14 40:44 41
6 Real Monarchs 28 12 0 16 38:55 33
7 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 28 10 0 18 39:62 27
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austin FC II 28 21 0 7 54:21 65
2 Houston Dynamo 2 28 18 0 10 53:33 52
3 Minnesota United 2 28 15 0 13 43:39 45
4 St. Louis City 2 28 14 0 14 42:40 44
5 North Texas 28 14 0 14 42:41 40
6 Sporting Kansas City II 28 7 0 21 36:75 23
7 Colorado Rapids 2 28 6 0 22 28:52 21
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crown Legacy 28 20 0 8 67:39 58
2 Chattanooga 28 19 0 9 56:39 56
3 Atlanta United 2 28 15 0 13 62:46 48
4 Columbus Crew 2 28 17 0 11 49:43 48
5 New England Revolution II 28 16 0 12 47:42 48
6 New York City II 28 16 0 12 50:44 47
7 CT United FC 28 16 0 12 59:52 46
8 New York Red Bulls II 28 15 0 13 58:48 46
9 Huntsville City 28 14 0 14 49:47 44
10 Orlando City B 28 15 0 13 55:56 44
11 Philadelphia Union II 28 14 0 14 37:40 43
12 Toronto FC II 28 13 0 15 48:56 39
13 Chicago Fire II 28 13 0 15 50:48 39
14 Carolina Core 28 10 0 18 40:53 31
15 FC Cincinnati 2 28 7 0 21 32:62 20
16 Inter Miami II 28 4 0 24 30:74 15
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austin FC II 28 21 0 7 54:21 65
2 Portland Timbers 2 28 19 0 9 37:29 57
3 Ventura County 28 18 0 10 58:36 53
4 Houston Dynamo 2 28 18 0 10 53:33 52
5 Minnesota United 2 28 15 0 13 43:39 45
6 Los Angeles FC 2 28 14 0 14 50:48 45
7 St. Louis City 2 28 14 0 14 42:40 44
8 San Jose Earthquakes II 28 14 0 14 51:36 42
9 Tacoma Defiance 28 14 0 14 40:44 41
10 North Texas 28 14 0 14 42:41 40
11 Real Monarchs 28 12 0 16 38:55 33
12 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 28 10 0 18 39:62 27
13 Sporting Kansas City II 28 7 0 21 36:75 23
14 Colorado Rapids 2 28 6 0 22 28:52 21
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)