Sport Picks
North Texas vs St. Louis City 2
USA
MLS Next Pro Choctaw Stadium, Arlington, TX 
Match Events
9'
9'
Starnes S.
14'
14'
Swann C.
30'
30'
Gbadehan A.
AI Match Summary
The MLS Next Pro game between North Texas and St. Louis City 2 finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward North Texas.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: North Texas
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- St. Louis City 2 carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives North Texas a 90% chance of winning this.
- Regular MLS Next Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and St. Louis City 2 have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
North Texas Clean Sheet 19%
St. Louis City 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | North Texas | St. Louis City 2 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 16 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 16 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.63 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 2.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.38 | 2.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 5, 2026 MLS Next Pro
North Texas vs St. Louis City 2
3:0
May 30, 2026 MLS Next Pro
St. Louis City 2 vs North Texas
2:0
Aug 17, 2025 MLS Next Pro
North Texas vs St. Louis City 2
1:3
Jun 5, 2025 MLS Next Pro
St. Louis City 2 vs North Texas
2:0
Mar 10, 2025 MLS Next Pro
North Texas vs St. Louis City 2
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
North Texas Compare
Top Goalscorer Louis R.
2 Goals Assists Leader Swann C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
St. Louis City 2 Compare
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
North Texas 85 / 100
St. Louis City 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
North Texas St. Louis City 2
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick NTX Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Difficult form: St. Louis City 2 registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.
North Texas's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
St. Louis City 2 has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.
Games between these two average 2.80 goals.
Scoring Trends
North Texas VS St. Louis City 2
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
North Texas
(Home) 19 Jul
San Jose Earthquakes II
0 : 1 North Texas
12 Jul
Colorado Rapids 2
1 : 0 North Texas
05 Jul
North Texas
3 : 0 St. Louis City 2
11 Jun
Vancouver Whitecaps 2
2 : 1 North Texas
30 May
St. Louis City 2
2 : 0 North Texas
Page 1 of 6
05 Jul
North Texas
3 : 0 St. Louis City 2
24 May
North Texas
2 : 3 San Jose Earthquakes II
17 May
North Texas
5 : 1 Sporting Kansas City II
03 May
North Texas
0 : 2 Austin FC II
11 Apr
North Texas
3 : 2 Sporting Kansas City II
Page 1 of 3
St. Louis City 2
(Away) 18 Jul
St. Louis City 2
1 : 2 Portland Timbers 2
11 Jul
Houston Dynamo 2
2 : 1 St. Louis City 2
05 Jul
North Texas
3 : 0 St. Louis City 2
28 Jun
St. Louis City 2
0 : 2 Austin FC II
20 Jun
Minnesota United 2
5 : 2 St. Louis City 2
Page 1 of 6
11 Jul
Houston Dynamo 2
2 : 1 St. Louis City 2
05 Jul
North Texas
3 : 0 St. Louis City 2
20 Jun
Minnesota United 2
5 : 2 St. Louis City 2
07 Jun
Colorado Rapids 2
1 : 2 St. Louis City 2
24 May
Los Angeles FC 2
2 : 1 St. Louis City 2
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Columbus Crew 2 | 19 | 14 | 0 | 5 | 35:29 | 39 |
| 2 | New York Red Bulls II | 19 | 10 | 0 | 9 | 40:29 | 32 |
| 3 | New England Revolution II | 17 | 11 | 0 | 6 | 23:20 | 32 |
| 4 | New York City II | 16 | 9 | 0 | 7 | 27:23 | 28 |
| 5 | CT United FC | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 33:32 | 28 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union II | 19 | 9 | 0 | 10 | 21:23 | 26 |
| 7 | Toronto FC II | 19 | 8 | 0 | 11 | 30:36 | 25 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati 2 | 18 | 5 | 0 | 13 | 17:34 | 14 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Crown Legacy | 18 | 13 | 0 | 5 | 44:27 | 37 |
| 2 | Orlando City B | 19 | 12 | 0 | 7 | 40:33 | 35 |
| 3 | Chattanooga | 19 | 12 | 0 | 7 | 35:30 | 34 |
| 4 | Atlanta United 2 | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 38:28 | 30 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire II | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 29:27 | 27 |
| 6 | Huntsville City | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 31:35 | 25 |
| 7 | Carolina Core | 19 | 5 | 0 | 14 | 22:32 | 18 |
| 8 | Inter Miami II | 16 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 14:41 | 5 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portland Timbers 2 | 19 | 12 | 0 | 7 | 25:23 | 37 |
| 2 | Ventura County | 19 | 11 | 0 | 8 | 34:27 | 32 |
| 3 | Los Angeles FC 2 | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 28:30 | 29 |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes II | 17 | 9 | 0 | 8 | 37:20 | 28 |
| 5 | Tacoma Defiance | 19 | 9 | 0 | 10 | 23:26 | 27 |
| 6 | Real Monarchs | 19 | 10 | 0 | 9 | 31:35 | 26 |
| 7 | Vancouver Whitecaps 2 | 19 | 6 | 0 | 13 | 25:40 | 17 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Houston Dynamo 2 | 17 | 14 | 0 | 3 | 39:15 | 40 |
| 2 | Austin FC II | 17 | 13 | 0 | 4 | 36:16 | 40 |
| 3 | Minnesota United 2 | 20 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 28:32 | 29 |
| 4 | St. Louis City 2 | 19 | 10 | 0 | 9 | 30:32 | 29 |
| 5 | North Texas | 17 | 8 | 0 | 9 | 27:21 | 25 |
| 6 | Sporting Kansas City II | 19 | 5 | 0 | 14 | 24:50 | 16 |
| 7 | Colorado Rapids 2 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 17:37 | 12 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 5)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Columbus Crew 2 | 19 | 14 | 0 | 5 | 35:29 | 39 |
| 2 | Crown Legacy | 18 | 13 | 0 | 5 | 44:27 | 37 |
| 3 | Orlando City B | 19 | 12 | 0 | 7 | 40:33 | 35 |
| 4 | Chattanooga | 19 | 12 | 0 | 7 | 35:30 | 34 |
| 5 | New York Red Bulls II | 19 | 10 | 0 | 9 | 40:29 | 32 |
| 6 | New England Revolution II | 17 | 11 | 0 | 6 | 23:20 | 32 |
| 7 | Atlanta United 2 | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 38:28 | 30 |
| 8 | New York City II | 16 | 9 | 0 | 7 | 27:23 | 28 |
| 9 | CT United FC | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 33:32 | 28 |
| 10 | Chicago Fire II | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 29:27 | 27 |
| 11 | Philadelphia Union II | 19 | 9 | 0 | 10 | 21:23 | 26 |
| 12 | Toronto FC II | 19 | 8 | 0 | 11 | 30:36 | 25 |
| 13 | Huntsville City | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 31:35 | 25 |
| 14 | Carolina Core | 19 | 5 | 0 | 14 | 22:32 | 18 |
| 15 | FC Cincinnati 2 | 18 | 5 | 0 | 13 | 17:34 | 14 |
| 16 | Inter Miami II | 16 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 14:41 | 5 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 6)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Houston Dynamo 2 | 17 | 14 | 0 | 3 | 39:15 | 40 |
| 2 | Austin FC II | 17 | 13 | 0 | 4 | 36:16 | 40 |
| 3 | Portland Timbers 2 | 19 | 12 | 0 | 7 | 25:23 | 37 |
| 4 | Ventura County | 19 | 11 | 0 | 8 | 34:27 | 32 |
| 5 | Minnesota United 2 | 20 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 28:32 | 29 |
| 6 | St. Louis City 2 | 19 | 10 | 0 | 9 | 30:32 | 29 |
| 7 | Los Angeles FC 2 | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 28:30 | 29 |
| 8 | San Jose Earthquakes II | 17 | 9 | 0 | 8 | 37:20 | 28 |
| 9 | Tacoma Defiance | 19 | 9 | 0 | 10 | 23:26 | 27 |
| 10 | Real Monarchs | 19 | 10 | 0 | 9 | 31:35 | 26 |
| 11 | North Texas | 17 | 8 | 0 | 9 | 27:21 | 25 |
| 12 | Vancouver Whitecaps 2 | 19 | 6 | 0 | 13 | 25:40 | 17 |
| 13 | Sporting Kansas City II | 19 | 5 | 0 | 14 | 24:50 | 16 |
| 14 | Colorado Rapids 2 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 17:37 | 12 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)