Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Northampton vs Wigan

England England

League One 2025/2026 Sixfields Stadium, Northampton
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Carragher J.
15' Event
Wright C.
Assist: Smith M.
45' Event
Guthrie J.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

The League One 2025/2026 game between Northampton and Wigan finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Wigan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Northampton
30%
Draws
34%
Wigan
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Northampton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Wigan come out ahead of Northampton on wins alone.
  • Northampton are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Northampton Clean Sheet 10%
Wigan Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Northampton Wigan
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 4 9
Draws 5 6
Losses 20 13
Goals Scored 0.75 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.5 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2026 League One
Northampton vs Wigan
1:3
Aug 2, 2025 League One
Wigan vs Northampton
3:1
May 3, 2025 League One
Northampton vs Wigan
1:1
Nov 26, 2024 League One
Wigan vs Northampton
2:1
Jan 13, 2024 League One
Northampton vs Wigan
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Northampton Compare

Top Goalscorer Evans J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Wigan Compare

Top Goalscorer Wright C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Aimson W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Northampton 34 / 100
Wigan 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Northampton Wigan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Wigan conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Northampton remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Wigan lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Northampton VS Wigan
0.75 Goals Scored 1.5
2.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Northampton

(Home)
28 Jul
Cambridge Utd
0 : 0
Northampton
22 Jul
Southend
1 : 3
Northampton
18 Jul
Northampton
0 : 0
Coventry
11 Jul
Leicester
3 : 0
Northampton
02 May
Northampton
2 : 3
Plymouth
Page 1 of 6

Wigan

(Away)
25 Jul
AFC Fylde
0 : 3
Wigan
18 Jul
Wigan
1 : 3
Port Vale
02 May
Stevenage
1 : 0
Wigan
25 Apr
Wigan
0 : 1
AFC Wimbledon
19 Apr
Port Vale
0 : 0
Wigan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lincoln City463110589:41103
2Cardiff462710990:5091
3Stockport County4622111371:5877
4Bradford City4622111358:5177
5Bolton461918970:5275
6Stevenage4621121349:4675
7Luton4621111468:5674
8Plymouth462271775:6373
9Huddersfield4618131574:6467
10Mansfield4616171362:5065
11Wycombe4617121769:5863
12Reading4616151564:6063
13Blackpool461792054:6560
14Doncaster461792050:6960
15Barnsley4615141768:7359
16Wigan4614141849:5856
17Burton4613151850:6054
18Peterborough461582364:6853
19AFC Wimbledon461582351:7253
20Leyton Orient4614102259:7152
21Exeter4612132152:6149
22Port Vale4610122436:6142
23Rotherham4610112541:7141
24Northampton46982939:7435
Promotion - Championship (Main)
Promotion - League One 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two (Main)