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Stadium Background

Northampton W vs Stoke City LFC W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Women’s FA Cup O'Riordan Bond Stadium, Northampton
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-4. This leg finished 0-4.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Northampton W
15%
Draws
65%
Stoke City LFC W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Stoke City LFC W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Stoke City LFC W have won more games recently than Northampton W.
  • Win probability leans Stoke City LFC W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Stoke City LFC W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Stoke City LFC W, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Northampton W Clean Sheet 10%
Stoke City LFC W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Northampton W Stoke City LFC W
Matches Played 10 31
Wins 4 16
Draws 0 5
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 1.8 1.9
Goals Conceded 3.2 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 25, 2026 Women’s FA Cup
Northampton W vs Stoke City LFC W
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Northampton W 10 / 100
Stoke City LFC W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Northampton W Stoke City LFC W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stoke City LFC W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Northampton W scored in 60% of their last 10 games.

Stoke City LFC W has conceded goals in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Northampton W has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Northampton W VS Stoke City LFC W
0 Goals Scored 1.75
4 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
100% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Northampton W

(Home)
25 Oct
Northampton W
0 : 4
Stoke City LFC W
23 Nov
Middlesbrough W
3 : 0
Northampton W
26 Oct
Northampton W
3 : 2
Sudbury W
03 Nov
Shrewsbury W
3 : 2
Northampton W
12 Nov
Northampton W
0 : 6
Ipswich W
Page 1 of 2

Stoke City LFC W

(Away)
28 Oct
Derby W
0 : 1
Stoke City LFC W
25 Oct
Northampton W
0 : 4
Stoke City LFC W
18 Oct
Stoke City LFC W
0 : 3
Rugby Borough W
11 Oct
Liverpool Feds W
0 : 3
Stoke City LFC W
04 Oct
Stoke City LFC W
2 : 2
Huddersfield W
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Harpenden Town W 0
Chesterfield W 1
Leafield Athletic W 4
Mansfield W 0
Sutton Coldfield Town W 1
Derby W 2
Harrogate W 1
Bolton W 3
Nottingham Trent W 2
Loughborough Lightning W 5
Preston W 0
International Soccer Academy W 2
Lye Town W -
Peterborough W -
Rugby Borough W 3
Sporting Khalsa W 0
Leeds W 2
Rotherham W 0
Norton & Stockton W 2
AFC Fylde W 0
Durham Cestria W 3
Hull City W 2
Huddersfield W 1
Middlesbrough W 2
Thornaby W 4
Chorley W 2
Royston Town W 0
Crewe W 1
Northampton W 0
Stoke City LFC W 4
Leeds Modernians W 1
Liverpool Feds W 3
Kidderminster W 4
Wroxham W 2
Wigan W 1
Chester-Le-Street Town W 4
West Brom W 0
Notts County W 1
Workington W 0
Mancunian Unity W 2
Port Vale W 1
Boldmere St Michaels W 3
Grimsby W 0
Stockport W 5
South Shields W 0
SJR Worksop W 3
Lincoln W 0
Halifax W 2
Moneyfields W 4
Saltdean United W 1
Abingdon W 0
Bristol Rovers W 6
Gwalia United W 5
Yate W 0
Portchester W 0
Oxford Utd W 5
Real Bedford W 5
Dussindale & Hellesdon W 0
Fulham W 3
Enfield Town W 0
Winchester City W 0
Keynsham Town W 1
Plymouth W 1
Millwall W 2
Barking W 2
Bromley W 0
Luton W 0
Cambridge Utd W 3
Exeter W 2
Hashtag W 0
Portsmouth W 4
Cheltenham W 0
Actonians W 0
Marine Academy Plymouth W 1
Brentford W 3
Dartford W 0
Maidenhead W 3
Andover New Street W 0
Hammersmith W 0
AFC Wimbledon W 3
Milton Keynes Dons W 3
Nantwich W 0
Tooting Bec W 0
Chatham W 1
Haringey Borough W 1
Dulwich Hamlet W 2
St Agnes AFC W 0
Portishead Town W 2
Swindon W 1
Bridgwater United W 2
QPR W 0
Lewes W 1
Norwich W 5
Redditch Borough FC W 2
Bournemouth W 4
Feniton W 0
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1/64-finals
Chesterfield W -
Leafield Athletic W -
Derby W -
Bolton W -
Loughborough Lightning W -
International Soccer Academy W -
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Rugby Borough W -
Leeds W -
Norton & Stockton W -
Durham Cestria W -
Middlesbrough W -
Thornaby W -
Crewe W -
Stoke City LFC W -
Liverpool Feds W -
Kidderminster W -
Chester-Le-Street Town W -
Notts County W -
Mancunian Unity W -
Boldmere St Michaels W -
Stockport W -
SJR Worksop W -
Halifax W -
Moneyfields W -
Bristol Rovers W -
Gwalia United W -
Oxford Utd W -
Real Bedford W -
Fulham W -
Keynsham Town W -
Millwall W -
Barking W -
Cambridge Utd W -
Exeter W -
Portsmouth W -
Marine Academy Plymouth W -
Brentford W -
Maidenhead W -
AFC Wimbledon W -
Milton Keynes Dons W -
Chatham W -
Dulwich Hamlet W -
Portishead Town W -
Bridgwater United W -
Lewes W -
Norwich W -
Bournemouth W -
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1/8-finals
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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