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Northern Colorado vs Central Valley Fuego

USA USA

USL League One 2024 Future Legends Complex
Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Opara L.
28'
Mariona J.
29' Event
Benson Bodden D. O.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this USL League One 2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Northern Colorado
6%
Draws
4%
Central Valley Fuego
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Northern Colorado

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Northern Colorado have won more games recently than Central Valley Fuego.
  • Northern Colorado are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Northern Colorado have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Northern Colorado Clean Sheet 20%
Central Valley Fuego Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Northern Colorado Central Valley Fuego
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 21 7
Draws 4 3
Losses 5 20
Goals Scored 2 1
Goals Conceded 0.63 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2024 USL League One
Central Valley Fuego vs Northern Colorado
0:1
Aug 31, 2024 USL Cup
Central Valley Fuego vs Northern Colorado
0:1
Jul 4, 2024 USL League One
Northern Colorado vs Central Valley Fuego
2:2
Jun 9, 2024 USL Cup
Northern Colorado vs Central Valley Fuego
4:3
Sep 17, 2023 USL League One
Central Valley Fuego vs Northern Colorado
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Northern Colorado Compare

Top Goalscorer Keegan J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gill R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Central Valley Fuego Compare

Top Goalscorer Benson Bodden D. O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader John-Brown S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Northern Colorado 85 / 100
Central Valley Fuego 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Northern Colorado Central Valley Fuego

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NOR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Northern Colorado scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Central Valley Fuego's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Northern Colorado remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Northern Colorado VS Central Valley Fuego
2 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Union Omaha22153447:2448
2Northern Colorado22125534:1841
3Forward Madison22109335:1839
4Greenville Triumph22114739:2837
5One Knoxville2298523:1635
6Charlotte Independence2297637:3134
7Spokane Velocity2276926:3527
8Richmond Kickers22661025:3424
9Lexington22561133:4221
10South Georgia Tormenta22481033:4220
11Chattanooga Red Wolves22531428:4818
12Central Valley Fuego22531427:5118