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Northern Colorado vs Greenville Triumph

USA USA

USL League One 2024 Future Legends Complex
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AI Match Summary

Northern Colorado play Greenville Triumph in the USL League One 2024. Northern Colorado are favorites here. Recently, Northern Colorado averaged 2 goals scored and 0.97 conceded. Greenville Triumph averaged 1.03 goals scored and 1.7 conceded. In past meetings, Northern Colorado won 2, Greenville Triumph won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Aug 25, 2024 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.54 for Northern Colorado and 1.18 for Greenville Triumph. This points to a Northern Colorado double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Northern Colorado
22%
Draws
20%
Greenville Triumph
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Northern Colorado

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

87% / Very High Confidence
  • Northern Colorado picked up more points recently compared to Greenville Triumph.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.54 vs 1.18 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 57%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 74%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%
Northern Colorado Clean Sheet 20%
Greenville Triumph Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 67%
Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Northern Colorado Greenville Triumph
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 21 7
Draws 4 5
Losses 5 18
Goals Scored 2 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.7

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 25, 2024 USL League One
Northern Colorado vs Greenville Triumph
3:0
Apr 6, 2024 USL League One
Greenville Triumph vs Northern Colorado
3:1
Sep 29, 2023 USL League One
Greenville Triumph vs Northern Colorado
0:2
Aug 20, 2023 USL League One
Northern Colorado vs Greenville Triumph
0:0
Sep 25, 2022 USL League One
Northern Colorado vs Greenville Triumph
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Northern Colorado Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gill R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Greenville Triumph Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Northern Colorado 56 / 100
Greenville Triumph 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Northern Colorado Greenville Triumph

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Northern Colorado Win (1)
Secondary Pick Northern Colorado & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +16%
2.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.7%
1.96
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Northern Colorado attacking → ← attacking Greenville Triumph

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Northern Colorado scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Greenville Triumph let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Northern Colorado went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Greenville Triumph lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

67 Points in last 5 26
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Union Omaha22153447:2448
2Northern Colorado22125534:1841
3Forward Madison22109335:1839
4Greenville Triumph22114739:2837
5One Knoxville2298523:1635
6Charlotte Independence2297637:3134
7Spokane Velocity2276926:3527
8Richmond Kickers22661025:3424
9Lexington22561133:4221
10South Georgia Tormenta22481033:4220
11Chattanooga Red Wolves22531428:4818
12Central Valley Fuego22531427:5118