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Northern Ireland U17 vs Sweden U17

World World

Friendly International
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Northern Ireland U17 play Sweden U17 in the Friendly International. Sweden U17 are favorites here. Recently, Northern Ireland U17 averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1.93 conceded. Sweden U17 averaged 2.38 goals scored and 1.17 conceded. In past meetings, Northern Ireland U17 won 1, Sweden U17 won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 18, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.88 for Northern Ireland U17 and 1.94 for Sweden U17. This points to a Sweden U17 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Northern Ireland U17
15%
Draws
59%
Sweden U17
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sweden U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Northern Ireland U17 picked up more points recently compared to Sweden U17.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.88 vs 1.94 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 66%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 85%
Over 2.5 Goals 66%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%
Northern Ireland U17 Clean Sheet 10%
Sweden U17 Clean Sheet 17%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Northern Ireland U17 Sweden U17
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 18
Draws 7 6
Losses 15 5
Goals Scored 1.1 2.38
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 18, 2026 Friendly International
Northern Ireland U17 vs Sweden U17
2:1
Feb 10, 2025 Friendly International
Sweden U17 vs Northern Ireland U17
2:1
Aug 5, 2018 Nordic Tournament U17
Sweden U17 vs Northern Ireland U17
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Northern Ireland U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Tohill E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kerr J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Sweden U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Mansson O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Northern Ireland U17 25 / 100
Sweden U17 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Northern Ireland U17 Sweden U17

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sweden U17 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Sweden U17 & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +44.6%
5.56
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.2%
1.67
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Northern Ireland U17 attacking → ← attacking Sweden U17

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Northern Ireland U17 scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Sweden U17 let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.67 goals.

Northern Ireland U17 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Sweden U17 lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

31 Points in last 5 60
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 2.38
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88