Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Northern Ireland U21 vs Azerbaijan U21

Europe Europe

Euro U21 2025 Ballymena Showgrounds, Ballymena
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Allen C.
(Penalty)
11'
Huseynov C.
28'
Fogarty T.

AI Match Summary

Northern Ireland U21 in this Euro U21 2025 matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Northern Ireland U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Northern Ireland U21
30%
Draws
29%
Azerbaijan U21
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Northern Ireland U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Azerbaijan U21 haven't matched Northern Ireland U21's recent run of results.
  • 41% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Euro U21 2025 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Northern Ireland U21 Clean Sheet 16%
Azerbaijan U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Northern Ireland U21 Azerbaijan U21
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 5
Draws 7 8
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 1 0.79
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 12, 2024 Euro U21
Northern Ireland U21 vs Azerbaijan U21
5:0
Oct 12, 2023 Euro U21
Azerbaijan U21 vs Northern Ireland U21
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Northern Ireland U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer McKiernan J. J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kelly P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Azerbaijan U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Northern Ireland U21 30 / 100
Azerbaijan U21 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Northern Ireland U21 Azerbaijan U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Northern Ireland U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Northern Ireland U21 scored in 61% of their last 28 outings.

Azerbaijan U21 has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Northern Ireland U21 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Northern Ireland U21 VS Azerbaijan U21
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Northern Ireland U21

(Home)
01 Oct
Northern Ireland U21
1 : 1
Georgia U21
26 Sept
Malta U21
0 : 4
Northern Ireland U21
03 Jun
Portugal U21
4 : 0
Northern Ireland U21
31 Mar
Latvia U21
1 : 3
Northern Ireland U21
27 Mar
Germany U21
3 : 0
Northern Ireland U21
Page 1 of 6

Azerbaijan U21

(Away)
30 Sept
Scotland U21
5 : 2
Azerbaijan U21
25 Sept
Azerbaijan U21
1 : 1
Czech Republic U21
09 Jun
Azerbaijan U21
1 : 3
Kyrgyzstan U20
06 Jun
Azerbaijan U21
3 : 0
Bahrain U20
31 Mar
Bulgaria U21
0 : 0
Azerbaijan U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Italy U21 10 6 4 0 27:4 22
2 Norway U21 10 6 1 3 28:11 19
3 Ireland U21 10 5 4 1 24:12 19
4 Turkey U21 10 4 1 5 21:15 13
5 Latvia U21 10 3 2 5 10:18 11
6 San Marino U21 10 0 0 10 1:51 0
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain U21 10 9 1 0 28:5 28
2 Belgium U21 10 6 1 3 13:6 19
3 Scotland U21 10 5 1 4 19:11 16
4 Hungary U21 10 5 1 4 12:8 16
5 Kazakhstan U21 10 3 0 7 13:24 9
6 Malta U21 10 0 0 10 4:35 0
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Netherlands U21 10 10 0 0 32:3 30
2 Georgia U21 10 6 1 3 14:10 19
3 Sweden U21 10 5 2 3 25:10 17
4 North Macedonia U21 10 4 0 6 8:15 12
5 Moldova U21 10 2 1 7 7:20 7
6 Gibraltar U21 10 1 0 9 3:31 3
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany U21 10 8 2 0 35:10 26
2 Poland U21 10 7 1 2 24:10 22
3 Bulgaria U21 10 4 3 3 17:12 15
4 Kosovo U21 10 3 3 4 10:17 12
5 Estonia U21 10 2 1 7 7:31 7
6 Israel U21 10 1 0 9 5:18 3
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Romania U21 10 7 1 2 23:10 22
2 Finland U21 10 6 2 2 21:8 20
3 Switzerland U21 10 5 3 2 21:12 18
4 Albania U21 10 5 1 4 12:17 16
5 Montenegro U21 10 2 1 7 8:19 7
6 Armenia U21 10 0 2 8 2:21 2
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 England U21 10 8 1 1 41:6 25
2 Ukraine U21 10 8 0 2 20:7 24
3 Serbia U21 10 5 1 4 13:18 16
4 Northern Ireland U21 10 3 2 5 10:10 11
5 Luxembourg U21 10 2 2 6 6:23 8
6 Azerbaijan U21 10 1 0 9 4:30 3
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal U21 10 9 0 1 33:6 27
2 Croatia U21 10 7 1 2 20:14 22
3 Greece U21 10 5 2 3 16:10 17
4 Faroe Islands U21 10 3 1 6 11:24 10
5 Belarus U21 10 1 3 6 6:20 6
6 Andorra U21 10 0 3 7 4:16 3
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Slovenia U21 8 5 2 1 13:7 17
2 France U21 8 5 1 2 22:6 16
3 Austria U21 8 4 3 1 12:6 15
4 Cyprus U21 8 1 2 5 7:23 5
5 Bosnia & Herzegovina U21 8 1 0 7 5:17 3
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Denmark U21 8 5 2 1 18:8 17
2 Czech Republic U21 8 4 2 2 13:11 14
3 Wales U21 8 4 2 2 13:11 14
4 Iceland U21 8 3 0 5 9:14 9
5 Lithuania U21 8 1 0 7 7:16 3
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)