Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Northern Ireland U21 vs Greece U21

Europe Europe

Euro U21 Mourneview Park, Lurgan
Tue, Oct 6, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Northern Ireland U21 host Greece U21 in the Euro U21. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Northern Ireland U21 at 1 goals for, 1.52 against; Greece U21 at 1.79 for, 0.93 against. Past meetings favor Greece U21 slightly — 1-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Nov 18, 2025, ending 4:0. xG projections (1.06 - 2.25) back Greece U21 to edge this. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Northern Ireland U21
15%
Draws
46%
Greece U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Greece U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Greece U21 lately — more wins on the board than Northern Ireland U21.
  • Northern Ireland U21 are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Greece U21 here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Northern Ireland U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Greece U21 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Northern Ireland U21 Greece U21
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 8 14
Draws 6 6
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.52 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 18, 2025 Euro U21
Greece U21 vs Northern Ireland U21
4:0
Oct 10, 2003 Euro U21
Greece U21 vs Northern Ireland U21
0:1
Apr 1, 2003 Euro U21
Northern Ireland U21 vs Greece U21
2:6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Northern Ireland U21 34 / 100
Greece U21 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Northern Ireland U21 Greece U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.33 goals.

Northern Ireland U21's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Greece U21 has conceded goals in 57% of their last 28 outings.

Northern Ireland U21 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Northern Ireland U21 VS Greece U21
1.38 Goals Scored 2.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Northern Ireland U21

(Home)
26 Sept
Malta U21
0 : 4
Northern Ireland U21
03 Jun
Portugal U21
4 : 0
Northern Ireland U21
31 Mar
Latvia U21
1 : 3
Northern Ireland U21
27 Mar
Germany U21
3 : 0
Northern Ireland U21
18 Nov
Greece U21
4 : 0
Northern Ireland U21
Page 1 of 6

Greece U21

(Away)
26 Sept
Georgia U21
0 : 3
Greece U21
30 May
Croatia U21
1 : 1
Greece U21
27 May
Greece U21
1 : 2
Qatar U23
31 Mar
Greece U21
0 : 2
Germany U21
27 Mar
Greece U21
5 : 0
Malta U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain U21 8 7 0 1 27:4 21
2 Finland U21 8 6 1 1 28:3 19
3 Romania U21 8 5 1 2 11:4 16
4 Kosovo U21 8 3 2 3 15:6 11
5 Cyprus U21 8 1 0 7 5:27 3
6 San Marino U21 8 0 0 8 0:42 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal U21 8 6 1 1 29:2 19
2 Czech Republic U21 8 4 3 1 16:4 15
3 Bulgaria U21 8 4 2 2 9:7 14
4 Scotland U21 8 3 2 3 18:10 11
5 Azerbaijan U21 8 1 4 3 6:19 7
6 Gibraltar U21 8 0 0 8 1:37 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France U21 7 5 2 0 22:5 17
2 Switzerland U21 8 5 2 1 15:5 17
3 Faroe Islands U21 8 4 0 4 8:14 12
4 Iceland U21 8 3 3 2 15:10 12
5 Luxembourg U21 7 1 1 5 7:19 4
6 Estonia U21 8 0 2 6 9:23 2
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 England U21 8 7 1 0 22:4 22
2 Slovakia U21 8 5 1 2 15:12 16
3 Ireland U21 8 4 2 2 9:10 14
4 Andorra U21 8 2 1 5 6:10 7
5 Moldova U21 8 1 2 5 9:17 5
6 Kazakhstan U21 8 1 1 6 6:14 4
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Poland U21 8 8 0 0 23:2 24
2 Italy U21 8 7 0 1 25:5 21
3 Montenegro U21 8 3 1 4 11:14 10
4 Sweden U21 8 3 1 4 10:19 10
5 North Macedonia U21 8 2 0 6 7:17 6
6 Armenia U21 8 0 0 8 4:23 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany U21 8 7 0 1 26:4 21
2 Greece U21 8 7 0 1 24:4 21
3 Northern Ireland U21 8 4 1 3 12:11 13
4 Georgia U21 8 2 3 3 12:12 9
5 Latvia U21 8 1 2 5 4:16 5
6 Malta U21 8 0 0 8 1:32 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norway U21 6 4 1 1 12:4 13
2 Bosnia & Herzegovina U21 6 1 4 1 2:1 7
3 Israel U21 6 1 4 1 6:7 7
4 Netherlands U21 6 1 3 2 7:8 6
5 Slovenia U21 6 1 2 3 3:10 5
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Croatia U21 6 5 1 0 14:2 16
2 Turkey U21 7 3 3 1 9:8 12
3 Ukraine U21 7 2 3 2 12:9 9
4 Hungary U21 6 0 3 3 7:12 3
5 Lithuania U21 6 0 2 4 3:14 2
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Belgium U21 6 4 1 1 12:2 13
2 Denmark U21 5 3 1 1 12:5 10
3 Austria U21 6 3 1 2 7:7 10
4 Wales U21 6 2 0 4 6:20 6
5 Belarus U21 7 1 1 5 7:10 4
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)