Sport Picks

Europe

UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 Windsor Park

Northern Ireland

5 - 0

Bulgaria

Our Tip

Match Events

15'

Price I.

Assist: Charles D.

25'

Price I.

29'

Price I.

Assist: Spencer B.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 game between Northern Ireland and Bulgaria finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Northern Ireland.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Northern Ireland

Draws

90%

Bulgaria

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Bulgaria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Bulgaria haven't matched Northern Ireland's recent run of results.
Bulgaria are the model's pick here, at 90%.
Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%

Northern Ireland Clean Sheet 16%

Bulgaria Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Northern Ireland	Bulgaria
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	12	6
Draws	5	10
Losses	13	14
Goals Scored	1	1.75
Goals Conceded	1.13	2.63
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 15, 2024 UEFA Nations League

Northern Ireland vs Bulgaria

Possession: 59% - 41% Cards: 1 - 2

5:0

Sep 8, 2024 UEFA Nations League

Bulgaria vs Northern Ireland

Possession: 58% - 43% Cards: 2 - 3

1:0

Oct 12, 2021 World Championship

Bulgaria vs Northern Ireland

Possession: 55% - 49% Cards: 3 - 4

2:1

Mar 31, 2021 World Championship

Northern Ireland vs Bulgaria

Possession: 51% - 52% Cards: 3 - 3

0:0

Feb 6, 2008 Friendly International

Northern Ireland vs Bulgaria

Possession: 51% - 57% Cards: 3 - 3

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Northern Ireland Compare

Top Goalscorer Price I.

3 Goals

Assists Leader Magennis J.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

Bulgaria Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59

Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Northern Ireland 10 / 100

Bulgaria 95 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Northern Ireland Bulgaria

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BUL Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Northern Ireland scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Bulgaria let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Northern Ireland has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Northern Ireland VS Bulgaria

1 Goals Scored 1.75

1.13 Goals Conceded 2.63

63% Over 1.5 88%

25% Over 2.5 75%

25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sweden	6	5	1	0	19:4	16
2	Slovakia	6	4	1	1	10:5	13
3	Estonia	6	1	1	4	3:9	4
4	Azerbaijan	6	0	1	5	3:17	1

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Romania	6	6	0	18:3	18
2	Kosovo	6	4	2	10:7	12
3	Cyprus	6	2	4	4:15	6
4	Lithuania	6	0	6	4:11	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Northern Ireland	6	3	2	1	11:3	11
2	Bulgaria	6	2	3	1	3:6	9
3	Belarus	6	1	4	1	3:4	7
4	Luxembourg	6	0	3	3	3:7	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	North Macedonia	6	5	1	0	10:1	16
2	Armenia	6	2	1	3	8:9	7
3	Faroe Islands	6	1	3	2	5:6	6
4	Latvia	6	1	1	4	4:11	4