Sport Picks
Northern Ireland W vs Croatia W
Europe
Euro Women Windsor Park, Belfast 
Match Events
59'
59'
Sub
Schofield C. In: McDaniel L.
Out: Schofield C.
70'
70'
Joscak M.
84'
84'
Sub
Magill S. In: Wilson E.
Out: Magill S.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-0, with Northern Ireland W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
4%
6%
90%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Croatia W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Northern Ireland W haven't matched Croatia W's recent run of results.
- 90% — that's where the model lands on Croatia W taking it.
- Croatia W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Northern Ireland W, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Northern Ireland W Clean Sheet 15%
Croatia W Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Northern Ireland W | Croatia W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 13 |
| Draws | 6 | 2 |
| Losses | 14 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.63 | 1.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 29, 2024 Euro Women
Northern Ireland W vs Croatia W
1:0
Oct 25, 2024 Euro Women
Croatia W vs Northern Ireland W
1:1
Mar 4, 2016 Istria Cup Women
Croatia W vs Northern Ireland W
0:1
Mar 4, 2016 Friendly International Women
Croatia W vs Northern Ireland W
0:1
Mar 9, 2015 Istria Cup Women
Croatia W vs Northern Ireland W
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Northern Ireland W Compare
Top Goalscorer Wade L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Croatia W Compare
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Northern Ireland W 10 / 100
Croatia W 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Northern Ireland W Croatia W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CRO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Northern Ireland W's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Croatia W let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.
Northern Ireland W has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Northern Ireland W VS Croatia W
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Northern Ireland W
(Home) 09 Jun
Northern Ireland W
1 : 2 Switzerland W
05 Jun
Turkey W
2 : 1 Northern Ireland W
18 Apr
Malta W
2 : 4 Northern Ireland W
14 Apr
Northern Ireland W
4 : 0 Malta W
07 Mar
Northern Ireland W
0 : 1 Turkey W
Page 1 of 6
09 Jun
Northern Ireland W
1 : 2 Switzerland W
14 Apr
Northern Ireland W
4 : 0 Malta W
07 Mar
Northern Ireland W
0 : 1 Turkey W
24 Oct
Northern Ireland W
0 : 2 Iceland W
30 May
Northern Ireland W
0 : 4 Poland W
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Croatia W
(Away) 09 Jun
Croatia W
4 : 0 Bulgaria W
05 Jun
Kosovo W
0 : 1 Croatia W
18 Apr
Croatia W
9 : 0 Gibraltar W
14 Apr
Gibraltar W
0 : 1 Croatia W
07 Mar
Croatia W
0 : 1 Kosovo W
Page 1 of 6
05 Jun
Kosovo W
0 : 1 Croatia W
14 Apr
Gibraltar W
0 : 1 Croatia W
03 Mar
Bulgaria W
0 : 1 Croatia W
01 Dec
Malta W
0 : 3 Croatia W
28 Nov
Malta W
3 : 2 Croatia W
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
Semi-finals
Azerbaijan W1
Portugal W8
Belarus W1
Czech Republic W8
Hungary W0
Scotland W5
Montenegro W0
Finland W6
Turkey W1
Ukraine W3
Greece W0
Belgium W5
Slovakia W2
Wales W3
Georgia W0
Ireland W9
Romania W2
Poland W6
Slovenia W1
Austria W5
Croatia W1
Northern Ireland W2
Albania W0
Norway W14
Bosnia & Herzegovina W3
Serbia W6
Luxembourg W0
Sweden W12
Final
Portugal W3
Czech Republic W2
Scotland W0
Finland W2
Ukraine W1
Belgium W4
Wales W3
Ireland W2
Poland W2
Austria W0
Northern Ireland W0
Norway W7
Serbia W0
Sweden W8