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Northern Mariana Islands vs Guam

World World

Friendly International 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

53' Event
Suzuki S.
60' Event
Castaneda M.
78' Event

AI Match Summary

Guam in this Friendly International 2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Guam.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Northern Mariana Islands
11%
Draws
80%
Guam
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Guam

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Northern Mariana Islands haven't matched Guam's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Guam's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Northern Mariana Islands Clean Sheet 10%
Guam Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Northern Mariana Islands Guam
Matches Played 27 34
Wins 3 11
Draws 2 2
Losses 22 21
Goals Scored 1.25 0.63
Goals Conceded 4 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.00 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 22, 2024 Friendly International
Northern Mariana Islands vs Guam
0:8
Dec 21, 2024 Friendly International
Northern Mariana Islands vs Guam
1:2
Apr 7, 2024 Friendly International
Northern Mariana Islands vs Guam
2:1
Apr 6, 2024 Friendly International
Northern Mariana Islands vs Guam
2:2
Sep 2, 2018 EAFF E-1 Football Championship
Guam vs Northern Mariana Islands
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Northern Mariana Islands Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Guam Compare

Top Goalscorer Suzuki S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Castaneda M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Northern Mariana Islands 10 / 100
Guam 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Northern Mariana Islands Guam

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Guam conceded in 82% of 34 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.

Guam's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Northern Mariana Islands found the back of the net in 56% of recent matches (27 games).

Scoring Trends

Northern Mariana Islands VS Guam
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
4 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 13%