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Northern Mariana Islands W vs Macau W

Asia Asia

EAFF E-1 Football Championship Women 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Casarino J. N.
66' Event
Ngewakl P.
75' Event
Ngewakl P.

AI Match Summary

Northern Mariana Islands W in this EAFF E-1 Football Championship Women 2025 tie, finishing 4-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Northern Mariana Islands W
6%
Draws
4%
Macau W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Northern Mariana Islands W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Northern Mariana Islands W lately — more wins on the board than Macau W.
  • Northern Mariana Islands W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Northern Mariana Islands W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Northern Mariana Islands W, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56.2%
Northern Mariana Islands W Clean Sheet 10%
Macau W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Northern Mariana Islands W Macau W
Matches Played 21 15
Wins 3 0
Draws 4 3
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.38 0
Goals Conceded 4 5.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.00 5.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 6, 2023 EAFF E-1 Football Championship Women
Northern Mariana Islands W vs Macau W
4:0
Sep 5, 2018 EAFF E-1 Football Championship Women
Northern Mariana Islands W vs Macau W
0:0
Jul 1, 2016 EAFF E-1 Football Championship Women
Macau W vs Northern Mariana Islands W
0:0
Jul 24, 2014 EAFF E-1 Football Championship Women
Northern Mariana Islands W vs Macau W
7:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Northern Mariana Islands W Compare

Top Goalscorer Casarino J. N.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ngewakl P.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Macau W Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Northern Mariana Islands W 83 / 100
Macau W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Northern Mariana Islands W Macau W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NOR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Macau W let in goals in 80% of their last 15 matches.

Macau W's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Northern Mariana Islands W scored in 33% of their last 21 games.

Scoring Trends

Northern Mariana Islands W VS Macau W
1.38 Goals Scored 0
4 Goals Conceded 5.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Northern Mariana Islands W

(Home)
07 Jun
Northern Mariana Islands W
0 : 13
Chinese Taipei W
05 Jun
Chinese Taipei W
5 : 0
Northern Mariana Islands W
07 Apr
Northern Mariana Islands W
2 : 2
Guam W
06 Apr
Northern Mariana Islands W
0 : 3
Guam W
06 Dec
Northern Mariana Islands W
4 : 0
Macau W
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Macau W

(Away)
07 Jun
Guam W
3 : 0
Macau W
05 Jun
Macau W
0 : 13
South Korea W
07 Apr
Bhutan W
7 : 0
Macau W
16 Jul
Singapore W
9 : 0
Macau W
06 Dec
Northern Mariana Islands W
4 : 0
Macau W
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
North Korea W5
Chinese Taipei W0
Hong Kong W2
Guam W1
Northern Mariana Islands W4
Macau W0