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Northern Rangers vs Ulverstone U21

Australia Australia

Tasmania Northern Championship
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AI Match Summary

The Tasmania Northern Championship game between Northern Rangers and Ulverstone U21 finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Northern Rangers.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Northern Rangers
15%
Draws
38%
Ulverstone U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Northern Rangers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Ulverstone U21 haven't matched Northern Rangers's recent run of results.
  • Northern Rangers are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Tasmania Northern Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
  • History favors Northern Rangers here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Northern Rangers Clean Sheet 17%
Ulverstone U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Northern Rangers Ulverstone U21
Matches Played 30 20
Wins 29 11
Draws 0 3
Losses 1 6
Goals Scored 5.7 2.45
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 4.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Tasmania Northern Championship
Northern Rangers vs Ulverstone U21
4:0
Jul 4, 2026 Tasmania Northern Championship
Ulverstone U21 vs Northern Rangers
1:4
May 2, 2026 Tasmania Northern Championship
Northern Rangers vs Ulverstone U21
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Northern Rangers 84 / 100
Ulverstone U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Northern Rangers Ulverstone U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Northern Rangers Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Northern Rangers found the back of the net in 100% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 4.67 goals.

Solid form: Northern Rangers remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Ulverstone U21 let in goals in 65% of their last 20 matches.

Scoring Trends

Northern Rangers VS Ulverstone U21
6.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 50%
88% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Northern Rangers

(Home)
05 Sept
Northern Rangers
3 : 1
Devonport U21
29 Aug
Northern Rangers
4 : 0
Ulverstone U21
22 Aug
Northern Rangers
6 : 1
Launceston United U21
15 Aug
Somerset
0 : 11
Northern Rangers
08 Aug
Burnie United
4 : 10
Northern Rangers
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Ulverstone U21

(Away)
29 Aug
Northern Rangers
4 : 0
Ulverstone U21
22 Aug
Ulverstone U21
4 : 3
Riverside Olympic U21
15 Aug
Burnie United
0 : 2
Ulverstone U21
08 Aug
Ulverstone U21
2 : 0
Somerset
31 Jul
Ulverstone U21
3 : 2
Launceston United U21
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Northern Rangers 21 20 0 1 130:24 60
2 Devonport U21 21 16 2 3 107:27 50
3 Ulverstone U21 20 11 3 6 49:38 36
4 Launceston City U21 20 9 0 11 32:39 27
5 Somerset 20 7 2 11 40:59 23
6 Burnie United 21 7 2 12 52:79 23
7 Riverside Olympic U21 20 5 0 15 28:76 15
8 Launceston United U21 21 2 1 18 19:115 7
Promotion - NPL Tasmania 2027 (Main)