Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Northern Tigers vs Dulwich Hill

Australia Australia

NSW League One
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Spang J.
40' Event
Rose C.
56' Event
Mitsoulas J.

AI Match Summary

The NSW League One game between Northern Tigers and Dulwich Hill finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Northern Tigers.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Northern Tigers
30%
Draws
23%
Dulwich Hill
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Northern Tigers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Northern Tigers come out ahead of Dulwich Hill on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular NSW League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).
  • History favors Northern Tigers here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Northern Tigers Clean Sheet 11%
Dulwich Hill Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Northern Tigers Dulwich Hill
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 16 7
Draws 9 9
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 1.71 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 NSW League One
Northern Tigers vs Dulwich Hill
3:1
Mar 14, 2026 NSW League One
Dulwich Hill vs Northern Tigers
0:5
Aug 16, 2025 NSW League One
Dulwich Hill vs Northern Tigers
0:7
May 3, 2025 NSW League One
Northern Tigers vs Dulwich Hill
5:0
Jul 24, 2024 NSW League One
Northern Tigers vs Dulwich Hill
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Northern Tigers Compare

Top Goalscorer Rose C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Spang J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Dulwich Hill Compare

Top Goalscorer Mitsoulas J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Northern Tigers 29 / 100
Dulwich Hill 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Northern Tigers Dulwich Hill

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Northern Tigers Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Northern Tigers scored in 87% of their last 31 outings.

Dulwich Hill's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 5.40 goals when they meet.

Northern Tigers went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Northern Tigers VS Dulwich Hill
1.88 Goals Scored 2.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Northern Tigers

(Home)
12 Sept
St George Saints
3 : 1
Northern Tigers
05 Sept
Northern Tigers
0 : 0
St George Saints
29 Aug
Western City Rangers
0 : 3
Northern Tigers
22 Aug
Northern Tigers
3 : 2
Macarthur Rams
15 Aug
Bulls Academy
1 : 1
Northern Tigers
Page 1 of 7

Dulwich Hill

(Away)
29 Aug
Rydalmere Lions
3 : 2
Dulwich Hill
22 Aug
Dulwich Hill
0 : 2
Inter Lions
15 Aug
Newcastle Jets U23
1 : 3
Dulwich Hill
08 Aug
Dulwich Hill
1 : 2
Macarthur Rams
01 Aug
Canterbury Bankstown FC
3 : 3
Dulwich Hill
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Blacktown Spartans 30 21 6 3 79:36 69
2 Northern Tigers 30 17 8 5 55:30 59
3 Bankstown City Lions FC 30 17 5 8 65:45 56
4 Canterbury Bankstown FC 30 15 6 9 71:53 51
5 Hills United 30 14 7 9 62:45 49
6 Macarthur Rams 30 14 6 10 40:36 48
7 Hakoah Sydney 30 10 11 9 55:52 41
8 Rydalmere Lions 30 11 8 11 43:46 41
9 Bulls Academy 30 11 5 14 52:50 38
10 Inter Lions 30 10 5 15 39:54 35
11 Hurstville Zagreb 30 9 6 15 42:55 33
12 Central Coast U23 30 8 7 15 46:67 31
13 Dulwich Hill 30 7 9 14 40:58 30
14 Newcastle Jets U23 30 6 11 13 55:73 29
15 Prospect United 30 4 14 12 33:52 26
16 Western City Rangers 30 6 6 18 37:62 24
Promotion - NPL NSW 2027 (Main)
Promotion - NPL NSW (Relegation)
Relegation - NSW League One (Relegation)