Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Northern Tigers vs St George Saints

Australia Australia

NPL NSW North Turramurra Recreation Area, Sydney
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-1. This leg finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Northern Tigers
30%
Draws
39%
St George Saints
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: St George Saints

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Northern Tigers lately — more wins on the board than St George Saints.
  • 31% — that's where the model lands on Northern Tigers taking it.
  • Northern Tigers have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Northern Tigers, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Northern Tigers Clean Sheet 20%
St George Saints Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Northern Tigers St George Saints
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 8
Draws 9 3
Losses 6 19
Goals Scored 1.67 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 NPL NSW
St George Saints vs Northern Tigers
3:1
Sep 5, 2026 NPL NSW
Northern Tigers vs St George Saints
0:0
Jul 15, 2023 NSW League One
St George Saints vs Northern Tigers
2:0
Apr 1, 2023 NSW League One
Northern Tigers vs St George Saints
3:0
Jun 18, 2022 NSW League One
St George Saints vs Northern Tigers
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Northern Tigers 85 / 100
St George Saints 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Northern Tigers St George Saints

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Northern Tigers Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Northern Tigers scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

St George Saints's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Northern Tigers remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Northern Tigers VS St George Saints
1.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Northern Tigers

(Home)
12 Sept
St George Saints
3 : 1
Northern Tigers
05 Sept
Northern Tigers
0 : 0
St George Saints
29 Aug
Western City Rangers
0 : 3
Northern Tigers
22 Aug
Northern Tigers
3 : 2
Macarthur Rams
15 Aug
Bulls Academy
1 : 1
Northern Tigers
Page 1 of 6

St George Saints

(Away)
12 Sept
St George Saints
3 : 1
Northern Tigers
05 Sept
Northern Tigers
0 : 0
St George Saints
30 Aug
Sydney Utd
6 : 0
St George Saints
22 Aug
St George Saints
1 : 0
Blacktown City
15 Aug
Western Sydney Wanderers U21
1 : 2
St George Saints
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
St George Saints 3
Northern Tigers 1