Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Northwich Victoria vs Boreham Wood

England England

FA Cup 2015/2016
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Williams J.
23' Event
Morias J.
68'
Kamdjo C.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Northwich Victoria
20%
Draws
57%
Boreham Wood
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Boreham Wood

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Boreham Wood carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Boreham Wood are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Boreham Wood arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Northwich Victoria Clean Sheet 10%
Boreham Wood Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Northwich Victoria Boreham Wood
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 21
Draws 9 4
Losses 11 4
Goals Scored 1.57 2.45
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 16, 2015 FA Cup
Boreham Wood vs Northwich Victoria
1:2
Nov 7, 2015 FA Cup
Northwich Victoria vs Boreham Wood
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Northwich Victoria Compare

Top Goalscorer Williams J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Boreham Wood Compare

Top Goalscorer Morias J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Northwich Victoria 14 / 100
Boreham Wood 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Northwich Victoria Boreham Wood

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Boreham Wood Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Northwich Victoria scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Boreham Wood conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Northwich Victoria has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Northwich Victoria VS Boreham Wood
2 Goals Scored 2.5
3 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 88%
100% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Northwich Victoria

(Home)
05 Sept
Northwich Victoria
2 : 3
Atherton Collieries
19 Jul
Witton Albion
1 : 1
Northwich Victoria
22 Jul
Thackley
3 : 2
Northwich Victoria
20 Jul
Northwich Victoria
1 : 5
Chester
29 Aug
Northwich Victoria
2 : 0
Atherton Collieries
Page 1 of 6

Boreham Wood

(Away)
26 Sept
Solihull Moors
0 : 3
Boreham Wood
23 Sept
Boreham Wood
1 : 2
Everton U21
19 Sept
Boreham Wood
4 : 1
Harrogate
16 Sept
Scunthorpe
1 : 2
Boreham Wood
12 Sept
Eastleigh
1 : 1
Boreham Wood
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Everton -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Whitehawk 5
Lincoln City 3
Morecambe 2
Dagenham & Red. 4
Yeovil 1
Maidstone 0
Gillingham 0
Stevenage 3
Welling 2
Barwell 0
Plymouth 0
Carlisle 2
Portsmouth 2
Macclesfield 1
York City 2
Accrington 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ipswich -
Birmingham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bournemouth -
Manchester City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Norwich -
Wycombe 4
Halifax 0
AFC Fylde 1
Millwall 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aston Villa -
Milton Keynes Dons -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Northwich Victoria 3
Boreham Wood 2
Coventry 1
Northampton 2
Scunthorpe 2
Southend 1
Staines 1
Leyton Orient 6
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chelsea -
Manchester United -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Oldham 2
Mansfield 0
Worcester 0
Sheffield Utd 3
Hartlepool 1
Cheltenham 0
Notts County 0
Salford 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Derby -
Sheffield Wed -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fulham -
Cardiff -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Grimsby 5
St. Albans 1
Gainsborough 0
Shrewsbury 1
Blackburn -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Barnet 2
Blackpool 0
Brackley 3
Newport 6
Swansea -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Forest Green 2
AFC Wimbledon 1
Braintree 2
Oxford Utd 4
Liverpool -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Port Vale 4
Maidenhead 2
Didcot 0
Exeter 3
Wolves -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
West Ham -
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Southampton -
Doncaster 2
Stalybridge 0
Basingstoke 0
Cambridge Utd 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stoke City -
Colchester 6
Wealdstone 2
Barnsley 0
Altrincham 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Charlton -
Leicester -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tottenham -
West Brom -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bristol City -
Preston -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Luton 2
Crawley Town 1
Burton 0
Peterborough 3
Walsall 2
Fleetwood Town 0
United of Manchester 1
Chesterfield 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brentford -
Huddersfield -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Reading -
Arsenal -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sunderland -
Middlesbrough -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Burnley -
Bury FC 4
Wigan 0
Swindon 1
Rochdale 3
Chesham 1
Bristol Rovers 0
Aldershot 0
Bradford City 2
Brighton -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hull City -
Leeds -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rotherham -
Eastleigh 1
Crewe 0
Dover Ath. 1
Stourbridge 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bolton -
Nottingham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
QPR -
Newcastle Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Watford -
1/64-finals
Everton -
TBD -
Whitehawk 3
Dagenham & Red. 4
Yeovil 1
Stevenage 0
Welling 0
Carlisle 5
Portsmouth 1
Accrington 0
TBD -
Ipswich -
Birmingham -
TBD -
TBD -
Bournemouth -
Manchester City -
TBD -
TBD -
Norwich -
Wycombe 2
Millwall 1
TBD -
Aston Villa -
Milton Keynes Dons -
TBD -
Northwich Victoria 2
Northampton 3
Scunthorpe 3
Leyton Orient 0
TBD -
Chelsea -
Manchester United -
TBD -
Oldham 0
Sheffield Utd 1
Hartlepool 3
Salford 1
TBD -
Derby -
Sheffield Wed -
TBD -
TBD -
Fulham -
Cardiff -
TBD -
Grimsby 0
Shrewsbury 1
Blackburn -
TBD -
Barnet 0
Newport 1
Swansea -
TBD -
Forest Green 0
Oxford Utd 1
Liverpool -
TBD -
Port Vale 0
Exeter 2
Wolves -
TBD -
TBD -
West Ham -
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
TBD -
Southampton -
Doncaster 3
Cambridge Utd 1
TBD -
Stoke City -
Colchester 3
Altrincham 2
TBD -
Charlton -
Leicester -
TBD -
TBD -
Tottenham -
West Brom -
TBD -
TBD -
Bristol City -
Preston -
TBD -
Luton 0
Peterborough 2
Walsall 2
Chesterfield 1
TBD -
Brentford -
Huddersfield -
TBD -
TBD -
Reading -
Arsenal -
TBD -
TBD -
Sunderland -
Middlesbrough -
TBD -
TBD -
Burnley -
Bury FC 1
Rochdale 0
Chesham 0
Bradford City 4
Brighton -
TBD -
TBD -
Hull City -
Leeds -
TBD -
TBD -
Rotherham -
Eastleigh 2
Stourbridge 0
TBD -
Bolton -
Nottingham -
TBD -
TBD -
QPR -
Newcastle Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
Watford -
1/32-finals
Everton 2
Dagenham & Red. 0
Yeovil 3
Carlisle 4
Portsmouth 4
Ipswich 3
Birmingham 1
Bournemouth 2
Manchester City 3
Norwich 0
Wycombe 1
Aston Villa 3
Milton Keynes Dons 5
Northampton 2
Scunthorpe 0
Chelsea 2
Manchester United 1
Sheffield Utd 0
Hartlepool 1
Derby 2
Sheffield Wed 2
Fulham 1
Cardiff 0
Shrewsbury 1
Blackburn 2
Newport 1
Swansea 2
Oxford Utd 3
Liverpool 5
Exeter 2
Wolves 0
West Ham 1
Crystal Palace 2
Southampton 1
Doncaster 1
Stoke City 2
Colchester 2
Charlton 1
Leicester 2
Tottenham 4
West Brom 3
Bristol City 2
Preston 0
Peterborough 2
Walsall 1
Brentford 0
Huddersfield 4
Reading 7
Arsenal 3
Sunderland 1
Middlesbrough 1
Burnley 2
Bury FC 1
Bradford City 0
Brighton 0
Hull City 1
Leeds 2
Rotherham 0
Eastleigh 3
Bolton 4
Nottingham 1
QPR 0
Newcastle Utd 0
Watford 1
1/16-finals
Everton 3
Carlisle 0
Portsmouth 1
Bournemouth 2
Manchester City 4
Aston Villa 0
Milton Keynes Dons 1
Chelsea 5
Manchester United 3
Derby 1
Sheffield Wed 2
Shrewsbury 3
Blackburn 3
Oxford Utd 0
Liverpool 1
West Ham 2
Crystal Palace 1
Stoke City 0
Colchester 1
Tottenham 4
West Brom 4
Peterborough 3
Walsall 0
Reading 4
Arsenal 2
Burnley 1
Bury FC 1
Hull City 3
Leeds 2
Bolton 1
Nottingham 0
Watford 1
1/8-finals
Everton 2
Bournemouth 0
Manchester City 1
Chelsea 5
Manchester United 3
Shrewsbury 0
Blackburn 1
West Ham 5
Crystal Palace 1
Tottenham 0
West Brom 1
Reading 3
Arsenal 4
Hull City 0
Leeds 0
Watford 1
Quarter-finals
Everton 2
Chelsea 0
Manchester United 3
West Ham 2
Crystal Palace 2
Reading 0
Arsenal 1
Watford 2
Semi-finals
Everton 1
Manchester United 2
Crystal Palace 2
Watford 1
Final
Manchester United 2
Crystal Palace 1