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Northwood vs Hanworth Villa

England England

FA Trophy 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Northwood play Hanworth Villa in the FA Trophy 2022/2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Northwood averaged 1.24 goals scored and 2.24 conceded. Hanworth Villa averaged 1.5 goals scored and 2 conceded. In past meetings, Northwood won 0, Hanworth Villa won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 13, 2022 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.94 for Northwood and 1.75 for Hanworth Villa. This points to a Hanworth Villa double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Northwood
18%
Draws
55%
Hanworth Villa
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Hanworth Villa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / High Confidence
  • Northwood picked up more points recently compared to Hanworth Villa.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.94 vs 1.75 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 70%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 70%
Over 3.5 Goals 42%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 57%
Northwood Clean Sheet 12%
Hanworth Villa Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 74%
Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Northwood Hanworth Villa
Matches Played 29 26
Wins 6 8
Draws 4 6
Losses 19 12
Goals Scored 1.24 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.24 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2022 FA Trophy
Northwood vs Hanworth Villa
0:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Northwood 27 / 100
Hanworth Villa 52 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Northwood Hanworth Villa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hanworth Villa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Hanworth Villa & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +42%
5.26
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.2%
1.56
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Northwood attacking → ← attacking Hanworth Villa

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Northwood scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Hanworth Villa let in goals in 77% of their last 26 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Northwood went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Hanworth Villa lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

22 Points in last 5 30
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
2.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.63