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Norton United vs Gateshead - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

FA Cup 2014/2015
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Rodman A.
39' Event
Ramshaw R.
43' Event
Ramshaw R.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-4, with Gateshead advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Norton United
15%
Draws
0%
Gateshead
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Norton United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Norton United haven't matched Gateshead's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Norton United a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Gateshead arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Gateshead, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Norton United Clean Sheet 20%
Gateshead Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Norton United Gateshead
Matches Played 11 29
Wins 5 7
Draws 2 5
Losses 4 17
Goals Scored 1.91 1.24
Goals Conceded 2.55 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.85 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 9, 2014 FA Cup
Norton United vs Gateshead
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Norton United Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.93

Gateshead Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramshaw R.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Rodman A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Norton United 85 / 100
Gateshead 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Norton United Gateshead

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Norton United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Gateshead lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Norton United scored in 73% of their last 11 games.

Defensive concern: Gateshead conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Gateshead
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 2.5
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Norton United

(Home)
09 Nov
Norton United
0 : 4
Gateshead
29 Oct
Shildon
1 : 2
Norton United
25 Oct
Norton United
1 : 1
Shildon
18 Oct
Chasetown
5 : 0
Norton United
11 Oct
Runcorn Town
2 : 5
Norton United
Page 1 of 3

Gateshead

(Away)
03 Oct
Gateshead
1 : 2
Worthing FC
29 Sept
Gateshead
0 : 1
Altrincham
26 Sept
Wealdstone
4 : 0
Gateshead
19 Sept
Gateshead
1 : 6
Southend
16 Sept
Kidderminster
1 : 0
Gateshead
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Bradford City 2
Halifax 1
Bromley 3
Dartford 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Millwall -
Watford -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chelsea -
Fulham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Wolves -
Leeds -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sunderland -
Derby -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Eastleigh 2
Lincoln City 1
Dagenham & Red. 0
Southport 2
Scunthorpe 2
Forest Green 0
Coventry 1
Worcester 2
Milton Keynes Dons 4
Port Vale 3
Braintree 0
Chesterfield 6
Cardiff -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Peterborough 2
Carlisle 1
Gosport Borough 3
Colchester 6
Huddersfield -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Reading -
Manchester United -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Accrington 2
Notts County 1
Crawley Town 0
Yeovil 1
Luton 4
Newport 2
Hemel Hempstead 1
Bury FC 3
Mansfield 2
Concord Rangers 1
Fleetwood Town 0
Cambridge Utd 1
Sheffield Utd 2
Crewe 0
AFC Fylde 0
Plymouth 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
QPR -
Norwich -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Shrewsbury 3
Walsall 2
Havant & Waterlooville 0
Preston 3
Middlesbrough -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chester 2
Southend 1
Burton 0
Barnsley 5
Sheffield Wed -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Manchester City -
Brighton -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brentford -
Hull City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arsenal -
Aston Villa -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Blackpool -
Rotherham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bournemouth -
Tottenham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Burnley -
Newcastle Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Leicester -
West Ham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Everton -
Doncaster 4
Weston-super-Mare 1
Leyton Orient 0
Oldham 1
Telford 3
Basingstoke 2
Gillingham 1
Bristol City 2
Birmingham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hartlepool 2
East Thurrock Utd 0
Altrincham 1
Blyth Spartans 4
Gateshead 4
Norton United 0
Exeter 0
Warrington Town 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
West Brom -
Liverpool -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Wycombe 3
Barnet 1
York City 2
AFC Wimbledon 4
Wigan -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bolton -
Southampton -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ipswich -
Dover Ath. 1
Morecambe 0
Swindon 0
Cheltenham 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Crystal Palace -
Stoke City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Maidstone 2
Stevenage 1
Woking 0
Wrexham 3
Nottingham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aldershot 3
Portsmouth 2
Northampton 1
Rochdale 2
Swansea -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Oxford Utd 3
Grimsby 1
Bristol Rovers 0
Tranmere 1
Charlton -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Blackburn -
1/64-finals
Bradford City 4
Dartford 1
TBD -
Millwall -
Watford -
TBD -
TBD -
Chelsea -
Fulham -
TBD -
TBD -
Wolves -
Leeds -
TBD -
TBD -
Sunderland -
Derby -
TBD -
Eastleigh 1
Southport 2
Scunthorpe 3
Worcester 2
Milton Keynes Dons 0
Chesterfield 2
Cardiff -
TBD -
Peterborough 0
Colchester 1
Huddersfield -
TBD -
TBD -
Reading -
Manchester United -
TBD -
Accrington 1
Yeovil 3
Luton 2
Bury FC 1
Mansfield 2
Cambridge Utd 3
Sheffield Utd 3
Plymouth 0
TBD -
QPR -
Norwich -
TBD -
Shrewsbury 0
Preston 1
Middlesbrough -
TBD -
Chester 0
Barnsley 3
Sheffield Wed -
TBD -
TBD -
Manchester City -
Brighton -
TBD -
TBD -
Brentford -
Hull City -
TBD -
TBD -
Arsenal -
Aston Villa -
TBD -
TBD -
Blackpool -
Rotherham -
TBD -
TBD -
Bournemouth -
Tottenham -
TBD -
TBD -
Burnley -
Newcastle Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
Leicester -
West Ham -
TBD -
TBD -
Everton -
Doncaster 1
Oldham 0
Telford 0
Bristol City 1
Birmingham -
TBD -
Hartlepool 1
Blyth Spartans 2
Gateshead 2
Warrington Town 0
TBD -
West Brom -
Liverpool -
TBD -
Wycombe 0
AFC Wimbledon 1
Wigan -
TBD -
TBD -
Bolton -
Southampton -
TBD -
TBD -
Ipswich -
Dover Ath. 1
Cheltenham 0
TBD -
Crystal Palace -
Stoke City -
TBD -
Maidstone 1
Wrexham 3
Nottingham -
TBD -
Aldershot 1
Rochdale 4
Swansea -
TBD -
Oxford Utd 3
Tranmere 4
Charlton -
TBD -
TBD -
Blackburn -
1/32-finals
Bradford City 7
Millwall 3
Watford 0
Chelsea 3
Fulham 4
Wolves 3
Leeds 0
Sunderland 1
Derby 1
Southport 0
Scunthorpe 2
Chesterfield 4
Cardiff 3
Colchester 1
Huddersfield 0
Reading 1
Manchester United 2
Yeovil 0
Luton 1
Cambridge Utd 2
Sheffield Utd 3
QPR 0
Norwich 0
Preston 2
Middlesbrough 2
Barnsley 0
Sheffield Wed 1
Manchester City 2
Brighton 2
Brentford 0
Hull City 0
Arsenal 2
Aston Villa 1
Blackpool 0
Rotherham 1
Bournemouth 5
Tottenham 5
Burnley 3
Newcastle Utd 0
Leicester 1
West Ham 4
Everton 3
Doncaster 1
Bristol City 3
Birmingham 3
Blyth Spartans 2
Gateshead 0
West Brom 7
Liverpool 2
AFC Wimbledon 1
Wigan 0
Bolton 1
Southampton 2
Ipswich 1
Dover Ath. 0
Crystal Palace 4
Stoke City 3
Wrexham 1
Nottingham 0
Rochdale 1
Swansea 6
Tranmere 2
Charlton 1
Blackburn 2
1/16-finals
Bradford City 4
Chelsea 2
Fulham 1
Sunderland 3
Derby 2
Chesterfield 0
Cardiff 1
Reading 2
Manchester United 3
Cambridge Utd 0
Sheffield Utd 2
Preston 4
Middlesbrough 2
Manchester City 0
Brighton 2
Arsenal 3
Aston Villa 2
Bournemouth 1
Tottenham 1
Leicester 2
West Ham 1
Bristol City 0
Birmingham 1
West Brom 2
Liverpool 2
Bolton 1
Southampton 2
Crystal Palace 3
Stoke City 4
Rochdale 1
Swansea 1
Blackburn 3
1/8-finals
Bradford City 2
Sunderland 0
Derby 1
Reading 2
Manchester United 3
Preston 1
Middlesbrough 0
Arsenal 2
Aston Villa 2
Leicester 1
West Ham 0
West Brom 4
Liverpool 2
Crystal Palace 1
Stoke City 1
Blackburn 4
Quarter-finals
Bradford City 0
Reading 3
Manchester United 1
Arsenal 2
Aston Villa 2
West Brom 0
Liverpool 1
Blackburn 0
Semi-finals
Reading 1
Arsenal 2
Aston Villa 2
Liverpool 1
Final
Arsenal 4
Aston Villa 0