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Norway U16 W vs Sweden U16 W

World World

Friendly International Women 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Norway U16 W play Sweden U16 W in the Friendly International Women 2024. Norway U16 W are favorites here. Recently, Norway U16 W averaged 2.23 goals scored and 1.86 conceded. Sweden U16 W averaged 1.65 goals scored and 2.13 conceded. In past meetings, Norway U16 W won 5, Sweden U16 W won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 21, 2024 ended 4:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.94 for Norway U16 W and 1.89 for Sweden U16 W. This points to a Norway U16 W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%
Norway U16 W
15%
Draws
23%
Sweden U16 W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Norway U16 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Norway U16 W picked up more points recently compared to Sweden U16 W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.94 vs 1.89 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 74%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 74%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60%
Norway U16 W Clean Sheet 10%
Sweden U16 W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 79%
Second Half Goal 84%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Norway U16 W Sweden U16 W
Matches Played 22 31
Wins 13 9
Draws 2 2
Losses 7 20
Goals Scored 2.23 1.65
Goals Conceded 1.86 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.40 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 21, 2024 Friendly International Women
Norway U16 W vs Sweden U16 W
4:3
Sep 18, 2024 Friendly International Women
Norway U16 W vs Sweden U16 W
1:0
May 16, 2023 Friendly International Women
Sweden U16 W vs Norway U16 W
1:6
Sep 16, 2022 Friendly International Women
Norway U16 W vs Sweden U16 W
2:1
Aug 25, 2011 Friendly International Women
Norway U16 W vs Sweden U16 W
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Norway U16 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Halvorsen C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Skeide N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Sweden U16 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Petz D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Widen F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Norway U16 W 58 / 100
Sweden U16 W 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Norway U16 W Sweden U16 W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Norway U16 W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Norway U16 W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +14.7%
1.85
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.8%
1.47
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Norway U16 W attacking → ← attacking Sweden U16 W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Norway U16 W scored in 73% of their last 22 games.

Sweden U16 W let in goals in 90% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 4.80 goals.

Norway U16 W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Sweden U16 W lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Friendly match. Both teams will likely test tactics and rotate squads rather than push for a result.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

41 Points in last 5 29
2.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.38
1.40 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88