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Norway U21 vs Israel U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

Euro U21 Lyse Arena, Stavanger
Our Tip

Match Events

64'
Sub
Fuglestad N. In: Hegland B.
Out: Fuglestad N.
70' Event
Abed T.
(Penalty)
70'
Sub
Odegard N. In: Hansen J.
Out: Odegard N.

AI Match Summary

The Euro U21 game between Norway U21 and Israel U21 finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Norway U21
35%
Draws
45%
Israel U21
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Israel U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Norway U21 come out ahead of Israel U21 on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Euro U21 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Norway U21 Clean Sheet 20%
Israel U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Norway U21 Israel U21
Matches Played 33 31
Wins 18 8
Draws 6 8
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 2.06 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.15 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 6, 2026 Euro U21
Norway U21 vs Israel U21
1:1
Nov 14, 2025 Euro U21
Israel U21 vs Norway U21
0:3
Mar 27, 2018 Euro U21
Israel U21 vs Norway U21
1:3
Sep 5, 2017 Euro U21
Norway U21 vs Israel U21
0:0
Nov 15, 2013 Euro U21
Israel U21 vs Norway U21
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Norway U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Moi T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Israel U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Norway U21 31 / 100
Israel U21 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Norway U21 Israel U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Norway U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Norway U21 scored in 76% of their last 33 games.

Israel U21 has conceded goals in 71% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Norway U21 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Norway U21 VS Israel U21
2.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Norway U21

(Home)
06 Oct
Norway U21
1 : 1
Israel U21
29 Sept
Norway U21
6 : 1
Bosnia & Herzegovina U21
25 Sept
Netherlands U21
0 : 0
Norway U21
08 Jun
Norway U21
0 : 2
Finland U21
31 Mar
Slovenia U21
2 : 0
Norway U21
Page 1 of 7

Israel U21

(Away)
06 Oct
Norway U21
1 : 1
Israel U21
29 Sept
Slovenia U21
2 : 3
Israel U21
31 Mar
Israel U21
0 : 0
Bosnia & Herzegovina U21
26 Mar
Hungary U21
0 : 1
Israel U21
18 Nov
Israel U21
3 : 1
Netherlands U21
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain U21 10 9 0 1 47:5 27
2 Finland U21 10 7 2 1 34:7 23
3 Romania U21 10 5 1 4 12:13 16
4 Kosovo U21 10 4 3 3 21:11 15
5 Cyprus U21 10 2 0 8 8:29 6
6 San Marino U21 10 0 0 10 0:57 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal U21 10 8 1 1 35:2 25
2 Czech Republic U21 10 5 3 2 17:6 18
3 Scotland U21 10 5 2 3 25:12 17
4 Bulgaria U21 10 4 2 4 9:10 14
5 Azerbaijan U21 10 2 4 4 11:24 10
6 Gibraltar U21 10 0 0 10 1:44 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France U21 10 8 2 0 34:8 26
2 Iceland U21 10 5 3 2 22:11 18
3 Switzerland U21 10 5 2 3 17:17 17
4 Faroe Islands U21 10 4 0 6 8:17 12
5 Luxembourg U21 10 3 1 6 13:22 10
6 Estonia U21 10 0 2 8 9:28 2
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 England U21 10 7 2 1 23:7 23
2 Ireland U21 10 6 2 2 16:14 20
3 Slovakia U21 10 6 2 2 17:13 20
4 Moldova U21 10 2 3 5 12:19 9
5 Andorra U21 10 2 2 6 7:12 8
6 Kazakhstan U21 10 1 1 8 11:21 4
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Italy U21 10 9 0 1 32:7 27
2 Poland U21 10 9 0 1 28:8 27
3 Sweden U21 10 4 1 5 12:22 13
4 Montenegro U21 10 3 3 4 13:16 12
5 North Macedonia U21 10 2 1 7 8:20 7
6 Armenia U21 10 0 1 9 5:25 1
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany U21 10 9 0 1 32:5 27
2 Greece U21 10 9 0 1 29:6 27
3 Northern Ireland U21 10 4 2 4 13:13 14
4 Georgia U21 10 2 4 4 13:15 10
5 Latvia U21 10 2 2 6 8:20 8
6 Malta U21 10 0 0 10 2:38 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norway U21 8 5 2 1 19:6 17
2 Netherlands U21 8 3 3 2 15:10 12
3 Israel U21 8 2 5 1 10:10 11
4 Bosnia & Herzegovina U21 8 1 4 3 3:11 7
5 Slovenia U21 8 1 2 5 7:17 5
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Croatia U21 8 6 1 1 15:3 19
2 Turkey U21 8 3 4 1 9:8 13
3 Ukraine U21 8 3 3 2 13:9 12
4 Hungary U21 8 1 4 3 9:13 7
5 Lithuania U21 8 0 2 6 4:17 2
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Belgium U21 8 5 2 1 13:2 17
2 Denmark U21 8 4 3 1 15:6 15
3 Austria U21 8 4 2 2 15:9 14
4 Wales U21 8 2 0 6 7:28 6
5 Belarus U21 8 1 1 6 7:12 4
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)