Sport Picks
Match Events
14'
14'
Bobb O.
Assist: Odegaard M.
18'
18'
Haaland E.
Assist: Nusa A.
25'
25'
Damsgaard M.
AI Match Summary
The UEFA Nations League game between Norway and Denmark finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Norway.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
48%
15%
37%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Norway
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
48%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Norway come out ahead of Denmark on wins alone.
- 48% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- European nights carry their own weight — this UEFA Nations League fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Norway Clean Sheet 17%
Denmark Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Norway | Denmark |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 20 | 14 |
| Draws | 5 | 8 |
| Losses | 5 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 2.63 | 1.79 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 24, 2026 UEFA Nations League
Norway vs Denmark
3:2
Jun 8, 2024 Friendly International
Denmark vs Norway
3:1
Jun 1, 2020 Friendly International
Denmark vs Norway
0:0
Nov 15, 2013 Friendly International
Denmark vs Norway
2:1
Jan 15, 2012 Kings Cup (Thailand)
Denmark vs Norway
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Norway Compare
Top Goalscorer Haaland E.
2 Goals Assists Leader Bobb O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Denmark Compare
Top Goalscorer Damsgaard M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Hojlund R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Norway 30 / 100
Denmark 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Norway Denmark
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Norway Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Norway scored in 93% of their last 30 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
Norway has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Denmark has conceded goals in 59% of their last 29 outings.
Scoring Trends
Norway VS Denmark
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Norway
(Home) 11 Jul
Norway
1 : 2 England
05 Jul
Brazil
1 : 2 Norway
30 Jun
Ivory Coast
1 : 2 Norway
26 Jun
Norway
1 : 4 France
23 Jun
Norway
3 : 2 Senegal
Page 1 of 6
11 Jul
Norway
1 : 2 England
26 Jun
Norway
1 : 4 France
23 Jun
Norway
3 : 2 Senegal
01 Jun
Norway
3 : 1 Sweden
31 Mar
Norway
0 : 0 Switzerland
Page 1 of 4
Denmark
(Away) 07 Jun
Denmark
2 : 1 Ukraine
03 Jun
D.R. Congo
0 : 0 Denmark
31 Mar
Czech Republic
3 : 2 Denmark
26 Mar
Denmark
4 : 0 North Macedonia
18 Nov
Scotland
4 : 2 Denmark
Page 1 of 6
03 Jun
D.R. Congo
0 : 0 Denmark
31 Mar
Czech Republic
3 : 2 Denmark
18 Nov
Scotland
4 : 2 Denmark
09 Oct
Belarus
0 : 6 Denmark
08 Sept
Greece
0 : 3 Denmark
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | France | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 2 | Turkey | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 | Italy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 | Belgium | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Germany | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 2 | Netherlands | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 | Greece | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 | Serbia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Czech Republic | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 2 | Croatia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 | Spain | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 | England | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portugal | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 2 | Norway | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 | Denmark | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 | Wales | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)
