Sport Picks

World

World Championship 2026 Ullevaal Stadion, Oslo

Norway

11 - 1

Moldova

Our Tip

Match Events

Myhre F.

Assist: Haaland E.

11'

Haaland E.

Assist: Myhre F.

36'

Haaland E.

Assist: Odegaard M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The World Championship 2026 game between Norway and Moldova finished 11-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Norway.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%

Norway

20%

Draws

15%

Moldova

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Norway

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence

Moldova haven't matched Norway's recent run of results.
Model gives Norway a 65% chance of winning this.
European nights carry their own weight — this World Championship 2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Norway have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 53%

Over 4.5 Goals 24%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%

Norway Clean Sheet 68%

Moldova Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Norway	Moldova
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	19	7
Draws	5	8
Losses	5	15
Goals Scored	2.66	1.03
Goals Conceded	1.1	2.07
Expected Goals (xG)	2.32	1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2025 World Championship

Norway vs Moldova

11:1

Mar 22, 2025 World Championship

Moldova vs Norway

0:5

Jan 15, 2014 Friendly International

Moldova vs Norway

1:2

Sep 8, 2007 Euro

Moldova vs Norway

0:1

Sep 6, 2006 Euro

Norway vs Moldova

2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Norway Compare

Top Goalscorer Haaland E.

5 Goals

Assists Leader Aasgaard T.

2 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.78

Avg xA / game 1.16

Moldova Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Norway 95 / 100

Moldova 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Norway Moldova

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Norway Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 3:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Norway found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (29 games).

Moldova let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.60 goals when they meet.

Norway has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Norway VS Moldova

2.5 Goals Scored 1

1.13 Goals Conceded 2.14

88% Over 1.5 100%

75% Over 2.5 43%

63% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Norway

(Home)

11 Jul

Norway

1 : 2

England

05 Jul

Brazil

1 : 2

Norway

30 Jun

Ivory Coast

1 : 2

Norway

26 Jun

Norway

1 : 4

France

23 Jun

Norway

3 : 2

Senegal

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Moldova

(Away)

09 Jun

Armenia

1 : 1

Moldova

05 Jun

Moldova

2 : 2

Bulgaria

30 Mar

Cyprus

3 : 2

Moldova

26 Mar

Moldova

0 : 2

Lithuania

16 Nov

Israel

4 : 1

Moldova

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