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Stadium Background

Norway W vs Germany W

World World

World Cup Women Lyse Arena, Stavanger
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Senss E.
24'
Nusken S.
45' Event
Wamser C.
Assist: Endemann V.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. This leg finished 0-4.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Norway W
15%
Draws
50%
Germany W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Germany W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Germany W lately — more wins on the board than Norway W.
  • Model gives Germany W a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Germany W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Germany W, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Germany W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Norway W Clean Sheet 16%
Germany W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Norway W Germany W
Matches Played 31 34
Wins 16 23
Draws 7 4
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.87 2.56
Goals Conceded 0.97 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 5, 2026 World Cup Women
Germany W vs Norway W
2:0
Mar 7, 2026 World Cup Women
Norway W vs Germany W
0:4
Apr 13, 2021 Friendly International Women
Germany W vs Norway W
3:1
Mar 7, 2020 Algarve Cup Women
Germany W vs Norway W
4:0
Nov 29, 2016 Friendly International Women
Germany W vs Norway W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Norway W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Germany W Compare

Top Goalscorer Senss E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wamser C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Norway W 10 / 100
Germany W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Norway W Germany W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Germany W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Norway W found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (31 games).

Solid form: Norway W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Germany W conceded in 56% of 34 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Norway W VS Germany W
1.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Norway W

(Home)
09 Jun
Norway W
2 : 1
Austria W
05 Jun
Germany W
2 : 0
Norway W
18 Apr
Slovenia W
2 : 3
Norway W
14 Apr
Norway W
5 : 0
Slovenia W
07 Mar
Norway W
0 : 4
Germany W
Page 1 of 7

Germany W

(Away)
09 Jun
Slovenia W
0 : 2
Germany W
05 Jun
Germany W
2 : 0
Norway W
18 Apr
Austria W
0 : 0
Germany W
14 Apr
Germany W
5 : 1
Austria W
07 Mar
Norway W
0 : 4
Germany W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Denmark W 6 4 2 0 12:5 14
2 Italy W 6 2 3 1 12:4 9
3 Sweden W 6 2 2 2 6:6 8
4 Serbia W 6 0 1 5 2:17 1
Promotion - World Cup Women (Main)
Promotion - World Cup Women (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France W 6 4 1 1 11:5 13
2 Netherlands W 6 3 2 1 12:9 11
3 Ireland W 6 3 0 3 9:9 9
4 Poland W 6 0 1 5 6:15 1
Promotion - World Cup Women (Main)
Promotion - World Cup Women (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain W 6 5 0 1 21:3 15
2 England W 6 5 0 1 13:5 15
3 Iceland W 6 2 0 4 3:12 6
4 Ukraine W 6 0 0 6 2:19 0
Promotion - World Cup Women (Main)
Promotion - World Cup Women (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany W 6 5 1 0 18:1 16
2 Norway W 6 4 0 2 11:9 12
3 Austria W 6 1 1 4 3:9 4
4 Slovenia W 6 1 0 5 3:16 3
Promotion - World Cup Women (Main)
Promotion - World Cup Women (Promotion - Play Offs)