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Norway W vs Iceland W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League Women Lerkendal Stadion, Trondheim
Norway W Logo

Norway W

1 - 1
FT
Iceland W Logo

Iceland W

Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Jonsdottir S.
36'
Sub
Bergsvand G. In: Ostenstad M.
Out: Bergsvand G.
42'
Graham C.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this UEFA Nations League Women matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Norway W
15%
Draws
34%
Iceland W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Norway W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Norway W have won more games recently than Iceland W.
  • Model gives Norway W a 51% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this UEFA Nations League Women fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Norway W Clean Sheet 20%
Iceland W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Norway W Iceland W
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 15 9
Draws 7 6
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 1.89 1.18
Goals Conceded 0.96 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 10, 2025 Euro Women
Norway W vs Iceland W
4:3
May 30, 2025 UEFA Nations League Women
Norway W vs Iceland W
1:1
Apr 4, 2025 UEFA Nations League Women
Iceland W vs Norway W
0:0
Feb 20, 2021 Tournoi de France Women
Iceland W vs Norway W
0:0
Jan 23, 2018 Friendly International Women
Norway W vs Iceland W
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Norway W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Iceland W Compare

Top Goalscorer Jonsdottir S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Norway W 85 / 100
Iceland W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Norway W Iceland W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Norway W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Norway W scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Iceland W has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Norway W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Norway W VS Iceland W
1.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Norway W

(Home)
09 Jun
Norway W
2 : 1
Austria W
05 Jun
Germany W
2 : 0
Norway W
18 Apr
Slovenia W
2 : 3
Norway W
14 Apr
Norway W
5 : 0
Slovenia W
07 Mar
Norway W
0 : 4
Germany W
Page 1 of 6

Iceland W

(Away)
09 Jun
Iceland W
1 : 6
Spain W
05 Jun
Ukraine W
0 : 1
Iceland W
18 Apr
Iceland W
0 : 1
England W
14 Apr
Iceland W
1 : 0
Ukraine W
07 Mar
England W
2 : 0
Iceland W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany W 6 5 1 0 26:4 16
2 Netherlands W 6 3 2 1 11:10 11
3 Austria W 6 2 0 4 5:16 6
4 Scotland W 6 0 1 5 3:15 1
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League B)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France W 6 6 0 0 14:2 18
2 Norway W 6 2 2 2 4:5 8
3 Iceland W 6 0 4 2 6:9 4
4 Switzerland W 6 0 2 4 4:12 2
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League B)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain W 6 5 0 1 21:8 15
2 England W 6 3 1 2 16:6 10
3 Belgium W 6 2 0 4 9:16 6
4 Portugal W 6 1 1 4 5:21 4
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League B)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sweden W 6 3 3 0 13:6 12
2 Italy W 6 3 1 2 11:7 10
3 Denmark W 6 3 0 3 8:13 9
4 Wales W 6 0 2 4 4:10 2
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League B)