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Norwich U21 vs Exeter U21

England England

Premier League Cup 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

90'
Okwumo H.
90'
Okwumo H.
90' Event
Dean T.
Assist: Richards J.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Exeter U21 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Norwich U21
20%
Draws
19%
Exeter U21
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Norwich U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Norwich U21 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Norwich U21 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Norwich U21 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Exeter U21, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Norwich U21 Clean Sheet 15%
Exeter U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Norwich U21 Exeter U21
Matches Played 31 13
Wins 11 7
Draws 7 2
Losses 13 4
Goals Scored 1.55 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.65 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 20, 2024 Premier League Cup
Norwich U21 vs Exeter U21
0:1
Sep 11, 2024 Premier League Cup
Exeter U21 vs Norwich U21
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Norwich U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

Exeter U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Dean T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Norwich U21 84 / 100
Exeter U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Norwich U21 Exeter U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Norwich U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Norwich U21's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Norwich U21 has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Exeter U21 conceded in 62% of 13 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Norwich U21 VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Norwich U21

(Home)
11 Sept
Norwich U21
4 : 2
Birmingham U21
08 Sept
Worthing FC
0 : 1
Norwich U21
28 Aug
Norwich U21
0 : 0
Stoke City U21
23 Aug
Middlesbrough U21
0 : 1
Norwich U21
18 Aug
Hornchurch
1 : 2
Norwich U21
Page 1 of 7

Exeter U21

(Away)
16 Dec
Exeter U21
1 : 2
West Brom U21
03 Dec
Luton U21
2 : 1
Exeter U21
24 Nov
Brentford U21
3 : 0
Exeter U21
15 Oct
West Brom U21
0 : 0
Exeter U21
30 Sept
Exeter U21
1 : 0
Brentford U21
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Exeter U21 6 5 1 0 14:5 16
2 Bromley U21 6 3 0 3 10:11 9
3 Bristol City U21 6 1 3 2 7:9 6
4 Norwich U21 6 0 2 4 6:12 2
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nottingham U21 6 4 1 1 11:4 13
2 Leicester U21 6 3 1 2 9:7 10
3 Hull City U21 6 2 0 4 7:9 6
4 Coventry U21 6 1 2 3 4:11 5
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 West Brom U21 6 2 3 1 12:9 9
2 Southampton U21 6 2 3 1 12:10 9
3 Swansea U21 6 2 2 2 14:9 8
4 Fleetwood Town U21 6 2 0 4 8:18 6
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sheffield Utd U21 6 5 0 1 17:7 15
2 Sunderland U21 6 3 1 2 15:7 10
3 Wolves U21 6 2 1 3 8:9 7
4 Huddersfield U21 6 1 0 5 7:24 3
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 QPR U21 6 3 1 2 12:5 10
2 Blackburn U21 6 2 3 1 10:9 9
3 Colchester U21 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
4 Preston U21 6 1 2 3 9:17 5
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cardiff U21 6 3 2 1 12:9 11
2 Ipswich U21 6 2 3 1 11:9 9
3 Everton U21 6 1 3 2 9:10 6
4 Watford U21 6 2 0 4 7:11 6
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Burnley U21 6 5 1 0 18:3 16
2 Luton U21 6 3 1 2 10:13 10
3 Brighton U21 6 2 1 3 8:9 7
4 Reading U21 6 0 1 5 7:18 1
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Charlton U21 6 4 2 0 17:6 14
2 Stockport U21 6 3 0 3 15:15 9
3 Leeds U21 6 2 1 3 11:12 7
4 Birmingham U21 6 1 1 4 8:18 4
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chelsea U21 6 4 1 1 19:12 13
2 Brentford U21 6 3 1 2 14:12 10
3 Derby U21 6 3 0 3 12:12 9
4 Bournemouth U21 6 1 0 5 7:16 3
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams