Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Norwich vs Ipswich

England England

Championship 2025/2026 Carrow Road, Norwich
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Philogene J.
(Penalty)
13'
Mehmeti A.
19'
Greaves J.

AI Match Summary

The Championship 2025/2026 game between Norwich and Ipswich finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ipswich.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Norwich
28%
Draws
22%
Ipswich
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Norwich

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Norwich carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Norwich's way, sitting at 50%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Championship 2025/2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Norwich Clean Sheet 68%
Ipswich Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Norwich Ipswich
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 18 14
Draws 4 8
Losses 6 5
Goals Scored 1.63 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Championship
Norwich vs Ipswich
0:2
Oct 5, 2025 Championship
Ipswich vs Norwich
3:1
Apr 6, 2024 Championship
Norwich vs Ipswich
1:0
Dec 16, 2023 Championship
Ipswich vs Norwich
2:2
Feb 10, 2019 Championship
Norwich vs Ipswich
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Norwich Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Ipswich Compare

Top Goalscorer Hirst G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Norwich 59 / 100
Ipswich 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Norwich Ipswich

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NOR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Norwich went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Norwich found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Ipswich conceded in 59% of 27 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Norwich VS Ipswich
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Norwich

(Home)
25 Jul
Fulham
0 : 2
Norwich
22 Jul
AFC Wimbledon
0 : 0
Norwich
17 Jul
St. Gallen
0 : 3
Norwich
11 Jul
Norwich
0 : 0
Colchester
04 Jul
Norwich
2 : 0
King’s Lynn
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Ipswich

(Away)
29 Jul
Ipswich
1 : 2
Osasuna
02 May
Ipswich
3 : 0
QPR
28 Apr
Southampton
2 : 2
Ipswich
25 Apr
West Brom
0 : 0
Ipswich
22 Apr
Charlton
1 : 2
Ipswich
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Coventry462811797:4595
2Ipswich462315880:4784
3Millwall4624111164:4983
4Southampton4622141082:5680
5Middlesbrough4622141072:4780
6Hull City4621101570:6673
7Wrexham4619141369:6571
8Derby462091767:5969
9Norwich461981963:5665
10Birmingham4617131657:5664
11Swansea4618101857:5964
12Bristol City4617111859:5962
13Sheffield Utd461862266:6660
14Preston4615151655:6260
15QPR4616102061:7358
16Watford4614151753:6557
17Stoke City4615102151:5655
18Portsmouth4614131949:6455
19Charlton4613141944:5853
20Blackburn4613132042:5652
21West Brom4613141948:5851
22Oxford Utd4611142145:5947
23Leicester4612161858:6846
24Sheffield Wed462123229:890
Promotion - Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - League One (Main)