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Norwich vs Swansea

England England

Championship 2025/2026 Carrow Road, Norwich
Our Tip

Match Events

25'
Stamenic M.
43'
Eom Ji-Sung
53' Event
Vipotnik Z.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Championship 2025/2026 game between Norwich and Swansea finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Norwich
15%
Draws
53%
Swansea
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Swansea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Swansea have managed 1.37 goals a game lately — Norwich are scoring more at 1.53.
  • 53% — that's where the model lands on Swansea taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Norwich Clean Sheet 17%
Swansea Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Norwich Swansea
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 14
Draws 5 7
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.53 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Championship
Norwich vs Swansea
1:1
Oct 25, 2025 Championship
Swansea vs Norwich
2:1
Jan 25, 2025 Championship
Norwich vs Swansea
5:1
Sep 14, 2024 Championship
Swansea vs Norwich
1:0
Apr 27, 2024 Championship
Norwich vs Swansea
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Norwich 10 / 100
Swansea 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Norwich Swansea

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Swansea Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Norwich scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Swansea's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Solid form: Norwich remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Norwich VS Swansea
2 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Norwich

(Home)
20 Sept
Norwich
3 : 4
Bolton
17 Sept
Manchester City
5 : 0
Norwich
12 Sept
Middlesbrough
4 : 3
Norwich
09 Sept
Norwich
2 : 1
Birmingham
05 Sept
Sheffield Utd
1 : 3
Norwich
Page 1 of 6

Swansea

(Away)
19 Sept
Lincoln City
1 : 2
Swansea
12 Sept
Swansea
3 : 1
Burnley
08 Sept
Southampton
3 : 1
Swansea
05 Sept
Swansea
0 : 0
Wrexham
01 Sept
Swansea
2 : 0
Watford
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coventry 46 28 11 7 97:45 95
2 Ipswich 46 23 15 8 80:47 84
3 Millwall 46 24 11 11 64:49 83
4 Southampton 46 22 14 10 82:56 80
5 Middlesbrough 46 22 14 10 72:47 80
6 Hull City 46 21 10 15 70:66 73
7 Wrexham 46 19 14 13 69:65 71
8 Derby 46 20 9 17 67:59 69
9 Norwich 46 19 8 19 63:56 65
10 Birmingham 46 17 13 16 57:56 64
11 Swansea 46 18 10 18 57:59 64
12 Bristol City 46 17 11 18 59:59 62
13 Sheffield Utd 46 18 6 22 66:66 60
14 Preston 46 15 15 16 55:62 60
15 QPR 46 16 10 20 61:73 58
16 Watford 46 14 15 17 53:65 57
17 Stoke City 46 15 10 21 51:56 55
18 Portsmouth 46 14 13 19 49:64 55
19 Charlton 46 13 14 19 44:58 53
20 Blackburn 46 13 13 20 42:56 52
21 West Brom 46 13 14 19 48:58 51
22 Oxford Utd 46 11 14 21 45:59 47
23 Leicester 46 12 16 18 58:68 46
24 Sheffield Wed 46 2 12 32 29:89 0
Promotion - Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - League One (Main)