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Norwich vs Swansea

England England

Championship 2025/2026 Carrow Road, Norwich
Our Tip

Match Events

25'
Stamenic M.
43'
Eom Ji-Sung
53' Event
Vipotnik Z.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Championship 2025/2026 game between Norwich and Swansea finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Norwich
11%
Draws
9%
Swansea
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Norwich

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Norwich come out ahead of Swansea on wins alone.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Norwich taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Norwich Clean Sheet 20%
Swansea Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Norwich Swansea
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 19 12
Draws 4 6
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1.63 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Championship
Norwich vs Swansea
1:1
Oct 25, 2025 Championship
Swansea vs Norwich
2:1
Jan 25, 2025 Championship
Norwich vs Swansea
5:1
Sep 14, 2024 Championship
Swansea vs Norwich
1:0
Apr 27, 2024 Championship
Norwich vs Swansea
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Norwich 76 / 100
Swansea 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Norwich Swansea

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NOR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Norwich went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Norwich's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Swansea conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Norwich VS Swansea
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Norwich

(Home)
25 Jul
Fulham
0 : 2
Norwich
22 Jul
AFC Wimbledon
0 : 0
Norwich
17 Jul
St. Gallen
0 : 3
Norwich
11 Jul
Norwich
0 : 0
Colchester
04 Jul
Norwich
2 : 0
King’s Lynn
Page 1 of 6

Swansea

(Away)
28 Jul
Merthyr Town
3 : 0
Swansea
24 Jul
Swansea
2 : 0
Udinese
21 Jul
Swansea
0 : 2
Bochum
18 Jul
Swansea
2 : 2
Holstein Kiel
02 May
Swansea
3 : 1
Charlton
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Coventry462811797:4595
2Ipswich462315880:4784
3Millwall4624111164:4983
4Southampton4622141082:5680
5Middlesbrough4622141072:4780
6Hull City4621101570:6673
7Wrexham4619141369:6571
8Derby462091767:5969
9Norwich461981963:5665
10Birmingham4617131657:5664
11Swansea4618101857:5964
12Bristol City4617111859:5962
13Sheffield Utd461862266:6660
14Preston4615151655:6260
15QPR4616102061:7358
16Watford4614151753:6557
17Stoke City4615102151:5655
18Portsmouth4614131949:6455
19Charlton4613141944:5853
20Blackburn4613132042:5652
21West Brom4613141948:5851
22Oxford Utd4611142145:5947
23Leicester4612161858:6846
24Sheffield Wed462123229:890
Promotion - Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - League One (Main)