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Nosaby IF vs IFK Malmo

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Södra Götaland 2023
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AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Södra Götaland 2023 game between Nosaby IF and IFK Malmo finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Nosaby IF
20%
Draws
20%
IFK Malmo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nosaby IF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Nosaby IF carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Nosaby IF taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Nosaby IF Clean Sheet 19%
IFK Malmo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nosaby IF IFK Malmo
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 16 3
Draws 11 8
Losses 11 19
Goals Scored 1.92 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.68 2.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 22, 2023 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
IFK Malmo vs Nosaby IF
2:3
Jun 11, 2023 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Nosaby IF vs IFK Malmo
2:2
Jul 22, 2020 Club Friendly
IFK Malmo vs Nosaby IF
1:2
Aug 15, 2015 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
IFK Malmo vs Nosaby IF
4:1
May 9, 2015 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Nosaby IF vs IFK Malmo
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nosaby IF 85 / 100
IFK Malmo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nosaby IF IFK Malmo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nosaby IF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nosaby IF found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (38 games).

Defensive concern: IFK Malmo conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: IFK Malmo registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nosaby IF VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Nosaby IF

(Home)
12 Sept
Nosaby IF
1 : 3
IFK Berga
05 Sept
Oskarshamn
1 : 2
Nosaby IF
29 Aug
IFK Karlshamn
3 : 1
Nosaby IF
22 Aug
Nosaby IF
5 : 0
Torns
18 Aug
Nosaby IF
0 : 3
IFK Trelleborg
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IFK Malmo

(Away)
31 Jan
Olympic
0 : 0
IFK Malmo
22 Oct
IFK Malmo
2 : 3
Nosaby IF
15 Oct
Osterlen FF
3 : 2
IFK Malmo
07 Oct
IFK Berga
1 : 1
IFK Malmo
30 Sept
IFK Malmo
1 : 7
Rosengard
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rosengard 26 20 3 3 62:27 63
2 Hassleholms IF 26 19 5 2 60:17 62
3 IFK Hassleholm 26 14 5 7 58:43 47
4 Karlskrona 26 13 7 6 47:32 46
5 Rappe GOIF 26 14 3 9 65:38 45
6 Simrishamn 26 10 7 9 49:45 37
7 Kristianstad 26 9 7 10 33:31 34
8 Balkan 26 9 6 11 41:53 33
9 IFK Berga 26 9 4 13 38:47 31
10 IFK Trelleborg 26 6 9 11 44:48 27
11 Nosaby IF 26 7 5 14 34:52 26
12 Osterlen FF 26 7 4 15 37:54 25
13 VMA 26 5 2 19 26:80 17
14 IFK Malmo 26 3 7 16 37:64 16
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland 2023 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Södra Götaland 2023 (Relegation)