Sport Picks

Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4 2025 Stadium Metallurg

Nosta

0 - 1

Chelyabinsk 2

Our Tip

Match Events

41'

Stanislavchuk E.

(Penalty)

43'

Yudin D.

46'

Sub

Chapliev F. In: Zyryanov N.

Out: Chapliev F.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4 2025 game between Nosta and Chelyabinsk 2 finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chelyabinsk 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%

Nosta

33%

Draws

40%

Chelyabinsk 2

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Chelyabinsk 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Chelyabinsk 2 come out ahead of Nosta on wins alone.
Model gives Chelyabinsk 2 a 40% chance of winning this.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 69%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%

Nosta Clean Sheet 16%

Chelyabinsk 2 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Nosta	Chelyabinsk 2
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	2	7
Draws	5	9
Losses	23	14
Goals Scored	0.25	1
Goals Conceded	2	1.25
Expected Goals (xG)	0.25	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.00	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4

Chelyabinsk 2 vs Nosta

Possession: 56% - 51% Cards: 3 - 3

1:1

Sep 28, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4

Nosta vs Chelyabinsk 2

Possession: 42% - 51% Cards: 4 - 4

0:1

Jun 22, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4

Chelyabinsk 2 vs Nosta

Possession: 46% - 42% Cards: 0 - 0

1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nosta 28 / 100

Chelyabinsk 2 50 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Nosta Chelyabinsk 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHE Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Chelyabinsk 2 conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.67 goals.

Chelyabinsk 2 lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Nosta scored in 47% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Nosta VS Chelyabinsk 2

0.25 Goals Scored 1

2 Goals Conceded 1.25

75% Over 1.5 63%

25% Over 2.5 50%

13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Amkar	26	20	3	3	60:19	63
2	Khimik	26	19	5	2	56:20	62
3	KDV Tomsk	26	13	7	6	41:25	46
4	Orenburg 2	26	12	10	4	41:24	46
5	Uralets Nizhny Tagil	26	12	6	8	37:28	42
6	Dynamo Barnaul	26	12	5	9	30:40	41
7	Volna Nizhegorodskaya	26	12	4	10	33:35	40
8	Rubin Kazan 2	26	11	6	9	40:30	39
9	Krylya Sovetov Samara 2	26	7	8	11	29:39	29
10	Akron Togliatti 2	26	8	3	15	41:52	27
11	Chelyabinsk 2	26	7	6	13	18:40	27
12	Ural 2	26	5	6	15	22:53	21
13	Nosta	26	5	4	17	24:52	19
14	Sokol Kazan	26	2	1	23	8:23	7