Sport Picks
Match Events
26'
26'
Gallo M.
66'
66'
Banegas P. E.
AI Match Summary
Notaresco Calcio in this Serie D - Group F 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Notaresco Calcio.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Agnonese haven't matched Notaresco Calcio's recent run of results.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Notaresco Calcio have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Notaresco Calcio Clean Sheet 20%
Agnonese Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Notaresco Calcio | Agnonese |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 3 |
| Draws | 10 | 6 |
| Losses | 11 | 21 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 0.8 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 2.33 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.35 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 28, 2021 Serie D - Group F
Notaresco Calcio vs Agnonese
2:0
Oct 11, 2020 Serie D - Group F
Agnonese vs Notaresco Calcio
0:3
Mar 8, 2020 Serie D - Group F
Agnonese vs Notaresco Calcio
0:0
Nov 3, 2019 Serie D - Group F
Notaresco Calcio vs Agnonese
2:1
Jan 16, 2019 Serie D - Group F
Notaresco Calcio vs Agnonese
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Notaresco Calcio Compare
Top Goalscorer Gallo M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Banegas P. E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68
Agnonese Compare
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Notaresco Calcio 31 / 100
Agnonese 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Notaresco Calcio Agnonese
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Notaresco Calcio Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Agnonese let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.
Notaresco Calcio scored in 77% of their last 30 games.
H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.
Away concern: Agnonese has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Notaresco Calcio VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Notaresco Calcio
(Home) 20 Sept
Foligno
1 : 0 Notaresco Calcio
16 Sept
Notaresco Calcio
1 : 0 Santegidiese
12 Sept
Teramo
2 : 2 Notaresco Calcio
06 Sept
Notaresco Calcio
1 : 2 Ancona
05 Aug
Pineto
4 : 1 Notaresco Calcio
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
Notaresco Calcio
1 : 0 Santegidiese
06 Sept
Notaresco Calcio
1 : 2 Ancona
26 Apr
Notaresco Calcio
1 : 2 San Marino Calcio
12 Apr
Notaresco Calcio
1 : 2 Ostiamare
22 Mar
Notaresco Calcio
4 : 0 Sammaurese
Page 1 of 3
Agnonese
(Away) 19 Jun
Agnonese
2 : 2 Montegiorgio
16 Jun
Castelfidardo
4 : 0 Agnonese
13 Jun
Agnonese
2 : 4 Aprilia
06 Jun
Agnonese
0 : 2 Roma City
30 May
Agnonese
1 : 0 Porto Sant'Elpidio
Page 1 of 6
16 Jun
Castelfidardo
4 : 0 Agnonese
26 May
Giulianova
0 : 2 Agnonese
23 May
Cynthialbalonga
3 : 0 Agnonese
12 May
Recanatese
5 : 2 Agnonese
09 May
Pineto
3 : 1 Agnonese
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Campobasso | 34 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 63:29 | 72 |
| 2 | Notaresco Calcio | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 59:34 | 64 |
| 3 | Pineto | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 45:33 | 56 |
| 4 | Cynthialbalonga | 34 | 14 | 14 | 6 | 51:35 | 56 |
| 5 | Matese | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 46:38 | 56 |
| 6 | Castelfidardo | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 46:33 | 55 |
| 7 | Recanatese | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 62:45 | 50 |
| 8 | Castelnuovo Vomano | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 53:53 | 50 |
| 9 | Vastese | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 45:37 | 48 |
| 10 | Montegiorgio | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 42:42 | 46 |
| 11 | FC Rieti | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 38:42 | 44 |
| 12 | Aprilia | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 43:49 | 44 |
| 13 | Roma City | 34 | 8 | 16 | 10 | 40:41 | 40 |
| 14 | US Tolentino | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 52:53 | 40 |
| 15 | Vastogirardi | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 46:51 | 40 |
| 16 | Giulianova | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 33:50 | 31 |
| 17 | Porto Sant'Elpidio | 34 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 22:63 | 17 |
| 18 | Agnonese | 34 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 25:83 | 15 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2020/2021 (Play Offs)
