Sport Picks
Notaresco Calcio vs Ancona - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Serie D - Group F 
Match Events
24'
24'
Manuzzi F.
45'
45'
Infantino S.
90'
90'
Manuzzi F.
AI Match Summary
Ancona in this Serie D - Group F matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ancona.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
27%
35%
38%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ancona
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
38%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Ancona lately — more wins on the board than Notaresco Calcio.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- Regular Serie D - Group F form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Notaresco Calcio Clean Sheet 16%
Ancona Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Notaresco Calcio | Ancona |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 17 |
| Draws | 10 | 8 |
| Losses | 10 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 0.83 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 6, 2026 Serie D - Group F
Notaresco Calcio vs Ancona
1:2
May 10, 2026 Serie D - Group F
Ancona vs Notaresco Calcio
1:3
May 3, 2026 Serie D - Group F
Ancona vs Notaresco Calcio
1:1
Dec 21, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Notaresco Calcio vs Ancona
1:1
Apr 13, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Ancona vs Notaresco Calcio
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Notaresco Calcio Compare
Top Goalscorer Infantino S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Ancona Compare
Top Goalscorer Manuzzi F.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Notaresco Calcio 36 / 100
Ancona 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Notaresco Calcio Ancona
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ancona Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Notaresco Calcio's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Defensive concern: Ancona conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Notaresco Calcio went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Notaresco Calcio VS Ancona
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Notaresco Calcio
(Home) 04 Oct
Montecchio Gallo
0 : 1 Notaresco Calcio
26 Sept
Notaresco Calcio
1 : 1 Pietralunga
20 Sept
Foligno
1 : 0 Notaresco Calcio
16 Sept
Notaresco Calcio
1 : 0 Santegidiese
12 Sept
Teramo
2 : 2 Notaresco Calcio
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Notaresco Calcio
1 : 1 Pietralunga
16 Sept
Notaresco Calcio
1 : 0 Santegidiese
06 Sept
Notaresco Calcio
1 : 2 Ancona
26 Apr
Notaresco Calcio
1 : 2 San Marino Calcio
12 Apr
Notaresco Calcio
1 : 2 Ostiamare
Page 1 of 3
Ancona
(Away) 07 Oct
Ancona
2 : 1 Fossombrone
04 Oct
Ancona
2 : 0 Sporting Trestina
27 Sept
Angelana
1 : 1 Ancona
20 Sept
Ancona
2 : 2 Aquila Calcio
16 Sept
Maceratese
0 : 1 Ancona
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Angelana
1 : 1 Ancona
16 Sept
Maceratese
0 : 1 Ancona
06 Sept
Notaresco Calcio
1 : 2 Ancona
26 Apr
Aquila Calcio
0 : 0 Ancona
12 Apr
Fossombrone
1 : 2 Ancona
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aquila Calcio | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12:2 | 14 |
| 2 | Teramo | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 17:11 | 13 |
| 3 | Vigor Senigallia | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14:10 | 13 |
| 4 | Foligno | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 7:6 | 13 |
| 5 | Ancona | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8:5 | 11 |
| 6 | Fossombrone | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6:9 | 10 |
| 7 | Notaresco Calcio | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:6 | 8 |
| 8 | Montecchio Gallo | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:5 | 8 |
| 9 | Santegidiese | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:7 | 8 |
| 10 | Giulianova | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10:9 | 7 |
| 11 | Lanciano FC | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10:9 | 7 |
| 12 | Termoli | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4:5 | 7 |
| 13 | Maceratese | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:9 | 7 |
| 14 | Atletico Ascoli | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:8 | 7 |
| 15 | Recanatese | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8:9 | 6 |
| 16 | Angelana | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:8 | 4 |
| 17 | Sporting Trestina | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:9 | 4 |
| 18 | Pietralunga | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2:9 | 2 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group F (Play Offs)
