Sport Picks

Italy

Serie D - Group F

Notaresco Calcio

1 - 2

Ostiamare

Our Tip

Match Events

38'

Infantino S.

63'

El Hadj C. G.

90'

Spinosa M.

(Penalty)

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ostiamare in this Serie D - Group F matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ostiamare.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

Notaresco Calcio

39%

Draws

31%

Ostiamare

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Ostiamare have won more games recently than Notaresco Calcio.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 13%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%

Notaresco Calcio Clean Sheet 68%

Ostiamare Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Notaresco Calcio	Ostiamare
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	10	19
Draws	10	7
Losses	10	4
Goals Scored	1.75	1.75
Goals Conceded	0.88	0.63
Expected Goals (xG)	1.75	1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Serie D - Group F

Notaresco Calcio vs Ostiamare

Possession: 53% - 59% Cards: 4 - 1

1:2

Nov 30, 2025 Serie D - Group F

Ostiamare vs Notaresco Calcio

Possession: 42% - 48% Cards: 4 - 3

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Notaresco Calcio Compare

Top Goalscorer Infantino S.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.35

Avg xA / game 0.88

Ostiamare Compare

Top Goalscorer El Hadj C. G.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.59

Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Notaresco Calcio 41 / 100

Ostiamare 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Notaresco Calcio Ostiamare

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NOT Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Notaresco Calcio found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Notaresco Calcio went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Ostiamare conceded in 57% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Notaresco Calcio VS Ostiamare

1.75 Goals Scored 1.75

0.88 Goals Conceded 0.63

88% Over 1.5 63%

63% Over 2.5 63%

13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ostiamare	34	24	7	3	65:25	79
2	Ancona	34	23	7	4	59:22	76
3	Teramo	34	21	11	2	65:29	74
4	Atletico Ascoli	34	14	13	7	55:35	55
5	Notaresco Calcio	34	13	12	9	43:31	51
6	Aquila Calcio	34	14	9	11	53:44	51
7	Giulianova	34	11	16	7	40:31	49
8	Vigor Senigallia	34	12	13	9	45:40	49
9	Fossombrone	34	11	11	12	28:34	44
10	Unipomezia	34	10	12	12	43:42	42
11	Termoli	34	8	15	11	27:30	39
12	Maceratese	34	11	5	18	43:49	38
13	AS Sora	34	9	11	14	40:50	38
14	Recanatese	34	8	8	18	39:57	32
15	San Marino Calcio	34	8	7	19	33:61	31
16	Calcio Chieti	34	8	11	15	31:55	24
17	Castelfidardo	34	6	5	23	30:65	23
18	Sammaurese	34	5	7	22	30:69	20