Sport Picks
Match Events
8'
8'
Rossano I.
87'
87'
Buonavoglia S.
AI Match Summary
Notaresco Calcio in this Coppa Italia Serie D 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
30%
33%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Notaresco Calcio
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- Termoli haven't matched Notaresco Calcio's recent run of results.
- Notaresco Calcio are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- Notaresco Calcio have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Termoli, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Notaresco Calcio Clean Sheet 68%
Termoli Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Notaresco Calcio | Termoli |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 8 |
| Draws | 10 | 10 |
| Losses | 10 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.2 | 0.59 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 0.69 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 19, 2026 Serie D - Group F
Termoli vs Notaresco Calcio
1:2
Dec 7, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Notaresco Calcio vs Termoli
1:1
Oct 8, 2025 Coppa Italia Serie D
Notaresco Calcio vs Termoli
2:0
Jan 5, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Termoli vs Notaresco Calcio
2:1
Sep 8, 2024 Serie D - Group F
Notaresco Calcio vs Termoli
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Notaresco Calcio Compare
Top Goalscorer Rossano I.
1 Goals Assists Leader Buonavoglia S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Termoli Compare
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Notaresco Calcio 50 / 100
Termoli 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Notaresco Calcio Termoli
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Notaresco Calcio Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Notaresco Calcio scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Notaresco Calcio remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Termoli has conceded goals in 59% of their last 29 outings.
Scoring Trends
Notaresco Calcio VS Termoli
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 13%
50% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Notaresco Calcio
(Home) 04 Oct
Montecchio Gallo
0 : 1 Notaresco Calcio
26 Sept
Notaresco Calcio
1 : 1 Pietralunga
20 Sept
Foligno
1 : 0 Notaresco Calcio
16 Sept
Notaresco Calcio
1 : 0 Santegidiese
12 Sept
Teramo
2 : 2 Notaresco Calcio
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Notaresco Calcio
1 : 1 Pietralunga
16 Sept
Notaresco Calcio
1 : 0 Santegidiese
06 Sept
Notaresco Calcio
1 : 2 Ancona
26 Apr
Notaresco Calcio
1 : 2 San Marino Calcio
12 Apr
Notaresco Calcio
1 : 2 Ostiamare
Page 1 of 3
Termoli
(Away) 04 Oct
Termoli
2 : 0 Lanciano FC
27 Sept
Sporting Trestina
2 : 0 Termoli
20 Sept
Termoli
1 : 2 Vigor Senigallia
16 Sept
Giulianova
0 : 0 Termoli
13 Sept
Termoli
1 : 0 Angelana
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Sporting Trestina
2 : 0 Termoli
16 Sept
Giulianova
0 : 0 Termoli
06 Sept
Aquila Calcio
1 : 0 Termoli
26 Apr
Ostiamare
1 : 0 Termoli
12 Apr
Teramo
0 : 0 Termoli
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Asti Calcio 2
Chisola 0
Ligorna 1
NovaRomentin 2
Vado 3
Sestri Levante 0
Tau 1
Pistoiese 3
Piacenza 2
SCD Progresso 1
Pavia 2
Sant'Angelo 0
Prato 2
Montevarchi 1
Correggese 2
Imolese 1
Sondrio 1
Breno 0
Folgore Caratese 2
Club Milano 3
AC Milan U23 2
Varesina 3
Brusaporto 0
Ciserano-Bergamo 1
Chievo 0
Rovato Vertovese 1
Este 3
Vigasio 2
Cjarlins Muzane 1
Brian Lignano 2
Luparense FC 0
Mestre 1
Fossombrone 0
Ancona 1
Foligno 0
Atletico Ascoli 2
Orvietana 2
Siena 0
Follonica Gavorrano 0
Valmontone 1
Notaresco Calcio 2
Termoli 0
Albalonga 2
Aquila Calcio 1
Grosseto 0
Unipomezia 1
Trastevere Calcio 2
Budoni Calcio 0
Martina Calcio 3
Sarnese 1
Ferrandina 2
Francavilla 3
A.C. Savoia 2
Paganese 1
Citta di Fasano 3
Gravina 0
Nocerina 4
Gelbison 2
Sambiase 0
Reggina 1
Castrumfavara 3
Igea Virtus 1
Enna 0
Sancataldese 2
1/16-finals
Asti Calcio 3
NovaRomentin 2
Vado 0
Pistoiese 3
Piacenza 2
Pavia 1
Prato 1
Correggese 4
Sondrio 0
Club Milano 3
Varesina 4
Ciserano-Bergamo 1
Rovato Vertovese 1
Este 3
Brian Lignano 0
Mestre 1
Ancona 1
Atletico Ascoli 0
Orvietana 0
Valmontone 1
Notaresco Calcio 2
Albalonga 1
Unipomezia 3
Trastevere Calcio 1
Martina Calcio 1
Francavilla 2
A.C. Savoia 3
Citta di Fasano 4
Nocerina 3
Reggina 2
Castrumfavara 3
Sancataldese 2
1/8-finals
Asti Calcio 1
Pistoiese 3
Piacenza 0
Correggese 1
Club Milano 1
Varesina 0
Este 1
Mestre 2
Ancona 2
Valmontone 1
Notaresco Calcio 0
Unipomezia 1
Francavilla 3
Citta di Fasano 2
Nocerina 2
Castrumfavara 0
Quarter-finals
Pistoiese 2
Correggese 0
Club Milano 1
Mestre 0
Ancona 2
Unipomezia 1
Francavilla 1
Nocerina 0
Semi-finals
Pistoiese 3
Club Milano 1
Ancona 2
Francavilla 1
Final
Pistoiese 3
Ancona 0
