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Notaresco Calcio vs US Tolentino

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group F 2022/2023 game between Notaresco Calcio and US Tolentino finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Notaresco Calcio
22%
Draws
18%
US Tolentino
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Notaresco Calcio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Notaresco Calcio carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Notaresco Calcio's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 16%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Notaresco Calcio Clean Sheet 68%
US Tolentino Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Notaresco Calcio US Tolentino
Matches Played 50 30
Wins 21 6
Draws 14 8
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 0.63 0
Goals Conceded 0.75 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 19, 2023 Serie D - Group F
Notaresco Calcio vs US Tolentino
0:0
Nov 13, 2022 Serie D - Group F
US Tolentino vs Notaresco Calcio
0:1
Apr 14, 2022 Serie D - Group F
Notaresco Calcio vs US Tolentino
1:2
Dec 5, 2021 Serie D - Group F
US Tolentino vs Notaresco Calcio
2:0
May 23, 2021 Serie D - Group F
US Tolentino vs Notaresco Calcio
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Notaresco Calcio 68 / 100
US Tolentino 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Notaresco Calcio US Tolentino

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NOT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

US Tolentino has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Attacking prowess: Notaresco Calcio scored in 74% of their last 50 outings.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Notaresco Calcio has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Notaresco Calcio VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Pineto34219450:2172
2Vigor Senigallia34207752:3467
3Trastevere Calcio34188856:4162
4Fano341861045:3460
5Cynthialbalonga341313832:2352
6Matese3412111144:3847
7Sambenedettese341381339:3746
8Calcio Chieti3412101229:2746
9Porto D'Ascoli341015928:2745
10Vastogirardi3410131130:3142
11Nuova Florida341191433:4442
12Avezzano341171635:4140
13Roma City349101529:4237
14Vastese348121437:4336
15Termoli345191025:3434
16Notaresco Calcio346131523:4131
17Montegiorgio347101721:3431
18US Tolentino347101725:4131