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Notch vs Leo Victor

Suriname Suriname

SML
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this SML matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Notch
15%
Draws
65%
Leo Victor
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Leo Victor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Notch haven't matched Leo Victor's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Leo Victor a 65% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Notch Clean Sheet 14%
Leo Victor Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Notch Leo Victor
Matches Played 33 34
Wins 9 18
Draws 10 5
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.24 1.65
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 SML
Leo Victor vs Notch
2:1
Jan 31, 2026 SML
Notch vs Leo Victor
1:1
Nov 29, 2025 SML
Leo Victor vs Notch
2:1
Jun 11, 2025 SML
Leo Victor vs Notch
1:1
Mar 30, 2025 SML
Notch vs Leo Victor
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Notch 15 / 100
Leo Victor 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Notch Leo Victor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leo Victor Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Notch scored in 79% of their last 33 games.

Defensive concern: Leo Victor conceded in 74% of 34 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Notch has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Notch VS Leo Victor
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Notch

(Home)
26 Apr
Notch
1 : 2
Inter Wanica
23 Apr
Notch
1 : 2
Broki
19 Apr
Notch
0 : 1
SV Transvaal
04 Apr
Leo Victor
2 : 1
Notch
29 Mar
Flora
0 : 1
Notch
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Leo Victor

(Away)
24 May
Inter Moengotapoe
2 : 4
Leo Victor
21 May
Broki
0 : 1
Leo Victor
17 May
Leo Victor
0 : 3
Broki
07 May
Robinhood
1 : 1
Leo Victor
03 May
Leo Victor
4 : 0
Inter Wanica
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Robinhood 24 19 5 0 62:10 62
2 Leo Victor 24 15 4 5 46:26 49
3 Inter Moengotapoe 24 12 7 5 55:31 43
4 Voorwaarts 24 12 7 5 49:28 43
5 SV Transvaal 24 8 6 10 31:32 30
6 Broki 24 7 5 12 32:46 26
7 Notch 24 5 7 12 28:35 22
8 Flora 24 4 5 15 33:64 17
9 Inter Wanica 24 2 2 20 11:75 8
Promotion - SML (Play Offs)
Promotion - SML (Play Offs)
Promotion - SML (Play Offs)
Promotion - SML (Play Offs)