Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Notch vs PVV

Suriname Suriname

SML 2025
1 - 4
FT
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

PVV in this SML 2025 tie, finishing 1-4. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Notch
20%
Draws
58%
PVV
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: PVV

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Notch haven't matched PVV's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans PVV's way, sitting at 90%.
  • PVV arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor PVV, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Notch Clean Sheet 20%
PVV Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Notch PVV
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 9 14
Draws 10 7
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.24 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 2, 2025 SML
PVV vs Notch
1:1
Jun 29, 2025 SML
Notch vs PVV
1:4
Apr 13, 2025 SML
PVV vs Notch
1:2
Feb 2, 2025 SML
Notch vs PVV
1:1
May 26, 2024 SML
Notch vs PVV
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Notch 10 / 100
PVV 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Notch PVV

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PVV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Notch found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (33 games).

PVV let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Notch remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Notch VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Notch

(Home)
26 Apr
Notch
1 : 2
Inter Wanica
23 Apr
Notch
1 : 2
Broki
19 Apr
Notch
0 : 1
SV Transvaal
04 Apr
Leo Victor
2 : 1
Notch
29 Mar
Flora
0 : 1
Notch
Page 1 of 7

PVV

(Away)
12 Jul
PVV
1 : 2
Inter Moengotapoe
09 Jul
PVV
1 : 0
Robinhood
06 Jul
Robinhood
1 : 1
PVV
02 Jul
PVV
1 : 1
Notch
29 Jun
Notch
1 : 4
PVV
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Robinhood -
TBD -
Notch 2
PVV 5
SV Transvaal -
TBD -
Voorwaarts 0
Inter Moengotapoe 5
Semi-finals
Robinhood 1
PVV 2
SV Transvaal 2
Inter Moengotapoe 3
Final
PVV 1
Inter Moengotapoe 2
Robinhood 4
SV Transvaal 0