Sport Picks
Notec Czarnkow vs Elana Torun - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
III Liga - Group II 
Match Events
33'
33'
Cwiklinski S.
Own Goal
76'
76'
Piekarski S.
87'
87'
Kaczmarek A.
AI Match Summary
The III Liga - Group II game between Notec Czarnkow and Elana Torun finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Notec Czarnkow.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
41%
30%
29%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Notec Czarnkow
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Notec Czarnkow come out ahead of Elana Torun on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Notec Czarnkow's way, sitting at 40%.
- Regular III Liga - Group II form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Notec Czarnkow Clean Sheet 20%
Elana Torun Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Notec Czarnkow | Elana Torun |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 13 | 9 |
| Draws | 4 | 8 |
| Losses | 12 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.62 | 1.71 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.31 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 22, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Notec Czarnkow vs Elana Torun
3:1
May 23, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Elana Torun vs Notec Czarnkow
0:3
Nov 8, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Notec Czarnkow vs Elana Torun
0:1
May 1, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Elana Torun vs Notec Czarnkow
1:1
Oct 5, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Notec Czarnkow vs Elana Torun
3:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Notec Czarnkow Compare
Top Goalscorer Piekarski S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Kaczmarek A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
Elana Torun Compare
Top Goalscorer Karbownik K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Notec Czarnkow 40 / 100
Elana Torun 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Notec Czarnkow Elana Torun
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Notec Czarnkow Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Elana Torun's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 31 matches.
Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.
Attacking prowess: Notec Czarnkow scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.
Notec Czarnkow went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Notec Czarnkow VS Elana Torun
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Notec Czarnkow
(Home) 03 Oct
Notec Czarnkow
3 : 0 Swinoujscie
26 Sept
Luzino
2 : 0 Notec Czarnkow
19 Sept
Notec Czarnkow
0 : 0 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
12 Sept
Lech Poznan II
2 : 1 Notec Czarnkow
05 Sept
Notec Czarnkow
3 : 1 Kluczevia Stargard
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Notec Czarnkow
3 : 0 Swinoujscie
19 Sept
Notec Czarnkow
0 : 0 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
05 Sept
Notec Czarnkow
3 : 1 Kluczevia Stargard
22 Aug
Notec Czarnkow
3 : 1 Elana Torun
08 Aug
Notec Czarnkow
0 : 2 Grom Nowy Staw
Page 1 of 3
Elana Torun
(Away) 03 Oct
Elana Torun
3 : 1 Luzino
26 Sept
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
2 : 2 Elana Torun
19 Sept
Elana Torun
0 : 0 Lech Poznan II
12 Sept
Kluczevia Stargard
2 : 1 Elana Torun
04 Sept
Elana Torun
1 : 2 Wda Swiecie
Page 1 of 7
26 Sept
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
2 : 2 Elana Torun
12 Sept
Kluczevia Stargard
2 : 1 Elana Torun
29 Aug
KKS Kalisz
5 : 1 Elana Torun
22 Aug
Notec Czarnkow
3 : 1 Elana Torun
15 Aug
Grom Nowy Staw
1 : 2 Elana Torun
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Polonia Sroda Wielkopol | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 33:16 | 27 |
| 2 | Luzino | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 31:13 | 25 |
| 3 | Kluczevia Stargard | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 19:16 | 19 |
| 4 | Blekitni Stargard | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 27:19 | 18 |
| 5 | Wda Swiecie | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 15:14 | 18 |
| 6 | KKS Kalisz | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 16:15 | 17 |
| 7 | Notec Czarnkow | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 18:15 | 16 |
| 8 | Lech Poznan II | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 17:15 | 15 |
| 9 | Baltyk Koszalin | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15:15 | 15 |
| 10 | Swinoujscie | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 15:20 | 14 |
| 11 | Unia Swarzedz | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 20:19 | 13 |
| 12 | Grom Nowy Staw | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 28:28 | 13 |
| 13 | Chemik Bydgoszcz | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 17:21 | 12 |
| 14 | Gedania Gdansk | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 23:24 | 11 |
| 15 | Elana Torun | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 16:22 | 10 |
| 16 | Kotwica Kornik | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 18:32 | 10 |
| 17 | Victoria Wrzesnia | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 11:23 | 8 |
| 18 | Lipno Steszew | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 11:23 | 5 |
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)
