Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Notec Czarnkow vs Luzino - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Koniuszy M.
87' Event
Petk A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Luzino in this III Liga - Group II 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Luzino.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Notec Czarnkow
15%
Draws
54%
Luzino
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Luzino

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Luzino have won more games recently than Notec Czarnkow.
  • Model gives Luzino a 54% chance of winning this.
  • Regular III Liga - Group II 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Notec Czarnkow Clean Sheet 10%
Luzino Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Notec Czarnkow Luzino
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 13 19
Draws 4 2
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.68 2.32
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Luzino vs Notec Czarnkow
2:0
Mar 21, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Luzino vs Notec Czarnkow
3:0
Aug 31, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Notec Czarnkow vs Luzino
0:2
Mar 29, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Luzino vs Notec Czarnkow
1:2
Sep 2, 2023 III Liga - Group II
Notec Czarnkow vs Luzino
5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Notec Czarnkow Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Luzino Compare

Top Goalscorer Koniuszy M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Notec Czarnkow 14 / 100
Luzino 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Notec Czarnkow Luzino

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Luzino Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Notec Czarnkow scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Luzino conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

Solid form: Notec Czarnkow remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Notec Czarnkow VS Luzino
1.5 Goals Scored 2.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Notec Czarnkow

(Home)
03 Oct
Notec Czarnkow
3 : 0
Swinoujscie
26 Sept
Luzino
2 : 0
Notec Czarnkow
19 Sept
Notec Czarnkow
0 : 0
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
12 Sept
Lech Poznan II
2 : 1
Notec Czarnkow
05 Sept
Notec Czarnkow
3 : 1
Kluczevia Stargard
Page 1 of 6

Luzino

(Away)
03 Oct
Elana Torun
3 : 1
Luzino
26 Sept
Luzino
2 : 0
Notec Czarnkow
19 Sept
Unia Swarzedz
1 : 3
Luzino
11 Sept
Luzino
5 : 1
Grom Nowy Staw
05 Sept
Gedania Gdansk
0 : 4
Luzino
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zawisza 34 25 5 4 73:23 80
2 Luzino 34 24 4 6 79:39 76
3 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 34 20 6 8 67:43 66
4 Lipno Steszew 34 15 6 13 47:54 51
5 Notec Czarnkow 34 14 7 13 49:46 49
6 Lech Poznan II 34 14 7 13 67:54 49
7 Elana Torun 34 14 7 13 49:55 49
8 Swinoujscie 34 14 7 13 48:52 49
9 Wda Swiecie 34 14 6 14 44:66 48
10 Unia Swarzedz 34 13 8 13 47:41 47
11 Kluczevia Stargard 34 13 7 14 54:43 46
12 Blekitni Stargard 34 12 9 13 56:51 45
13 Victoria Wrzesnia 34 13 3 18 41:46 42
14 Pogon Szczecin II 34 12 5 17 75:66 41
15 Nowe Skalmierzyce 34 10 9 15 35:46 39
16 Cartusia Kartuzy 34 11 5 18 38:51 38
17 Tluchowo 34 8 7 19 37:66 31
18 Wybrzeze Rewalskie Rewal 34 3 6 25 20:84 15
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)