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Notodden 2 vs Jerv 2

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 5 2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Jerv 2 in this Division 3 - Group 5 2016 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jerv 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Notodden 2
15%
Draws
85%
Jerv 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jerv 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Jerv 2 lately — more wins on the board than Notodden 2.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Notodden 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Jerv 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Notodden 2 Jerv 2
Matches Played 30 25
Wins 9 10
Draws 3 4
Losses 18 11
Goals Scored 1.63 2.24
Goals Conceded 2.73 2.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2016 Division 3 - Group 5
Notodden 2 vs Jerv 2
1:2
Jul 6, 2016 Division 3 - Group 5
Jerv 2 vs Notodden 2
6:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Notodden 2 30 / 100
Jerv 2 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Notodden 2 Jerv 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jerv 2 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jerv 2 let in goals in 88% of their last 25 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Notodden 2 scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Jerv 2 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Notodden 2 VS Jerv 2
0.88 Goals Scored 2.75
2.75 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Notodden 2

(Home)
22 Oct
Notodden 2
0 : 3
Skarphedin
09 Oct
Notodden 2
0 : 3
Madla IL
04 Oct
IL Express
2 : 1
Notodden 2
25 Sept
Notodden 2
0 : 2
Viking 2
18 Sept
Eiger
4 : 0
Notodden 2
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Jerv 2

(Away)
28 Feb
Jerv 2
1 : 6
Mandalskameratene
22 Oct
Jerv 2
2 : 3
Madla IL
15 Oct
IL Express
4 : 0
Jerv 2
08 Oct
Jerv 2
2 : 1
Viking 2
03 Oct
Eiger
2 : 2
Jerv 2
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