Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Notodden 2 vs Tollnes

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 5 2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 5 2013 game between Notodden 2 and Tollnes finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Notodden 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Notodden 2
15%
Draws
85%
Tollnes
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tollnes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Notodden 2 have managed 1.63 goals a game lately — Tollnes are scoring more at 1.81.
  • Win probability leans Tollnes's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Notodden 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Tollnes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Notodden 2 Tollnes
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 9
Draws 3 5
Losses 18 17
Goals Scored 1.63 1.81
Goals Conceded 2.73 2.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.85 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 23, 2013 Division 3 - Group 5
Notodden 2 vs Tollnes
1:0
Jun 3, 2013 Division 3 - Group 5
Tollnes vs Notodden 2
3:0
Sep 17, 2012 Division 3 - Group 5
Notodden 2 vs Tollnes
0:2
Jun 4, 2012 Division 3 - Group 5
Tollnes vs Notodden 2
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Notodden 2 14 / 100
Tollnes 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Notodden 2 Tollnes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tollnes Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tollnes has conceded goals in 90% of their last 31 outings.

Attacking prowess: Notodden 2 scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Away concern: Tollnes has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Notodden 2 VS -
2.5 Goals Scored 0
3.38 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
88% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Notodden 2

(Home)
22 Oct
Notodden 2
0 : 3
Skarphedin
09 Oct
Notodden 2
0 : 3
Madla IL
04 Oct
IL Express
2 : 1
Notodden 2
25 Sept
Notodden 2
0 : 2
Viking 2
18 Sept
Eiger
4 : 0
Notodden 2
Page 1 of 6

Tollnes

(Away)
13 Apr
Tollnes
0 : 5
Odds BK
24 Oct
Tollnes
1 : 0
Sandnes Ulf 2
17 Oct
Algard
3 : 1
Tollnes
09 Oct
Tollnes
3 : 3
IL Express
06 Oct
Tollnes
3 : 1
Odds BK 3
Page 1 of 7